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Stabilising Properties of Discretionary Monetary Policies in a Small Open Economy

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  • Alfred V. Guender

Abstract

This article sets out a simple New Keynesian open-economy model and shows that the conduct of discretionary monetary policy in an open economy differs substantially from the closed-economy framework. The article shows analytically that the existence of the direct exchange rate channel in the open economy Phillips Curve impairs the perfect stabilising property of monetary policy in the face of demand-side disturbances under domestic inflation targeting. If CPI inflation is instead the target, then the perfect stabilising property of monetary policy breaks down even in the absence of the direct exchange rate channel in the Phillips Curve. Copyright 2006 Royal Economic Society.

Suggested Citation

  • Alfred V. Guender, 2006. "Stabilising Properties of Discretionary Monetary Policies in a Small Open Economy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 116(508), pages 309-326, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:116:y:2006:i:508:p:309-326
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    Cited by:

    1. Alho, Kari O.E. & Nikula, Nuutti, 2006. "Productivity, Empoyment and Taxes - Evidence on the Potential Trade-offs and Impacts in the EU," Discussion Papers 1054, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
    2. N. Gregory Mankiw & Ricardo Reis, 2002. "Sticky Information versus Sticky Prices: A Proposal to Replace the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(4), pages 1295-1328.
    3. Rhee, Hyuk-jae & Turdaliev, Nurlan, 2013. "Optimal monetary policy in a small open economy with staggered wage and price contracts," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 306-323.
    4. Richard T. Froyen & Alfred V Guender, 2016. "The Real Exchange Rate in Open-Economy Taylor Rules: A Re-Assessment," Working Papers in Economics 16/10, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    5. Guender, Alfred V., 2008. ""Leaning with the wind"? An open-economy example," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 941-964, September.
    6. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Bayraktar, Nihal, 2010. "Contracting models of the Phillips curve empirical estimates for middle-income countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 555-570, June.
    7. José Manuel Belbute & Leonardo Dia Massala & Júlio António Delgado, 2016. "Measuring Persistence in Inflation: Evidence For angola," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 84(4), pages 594-606, December.
    8. J. M. Belbute & Júlio A. Delgado & Suzana C. Monteiro & Teresa E. Pascoa, 2016. "Measuring persistence in nominal exchange rate: Implications for Angola’s entrepreneurship and business development," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 6(3), pages 1180-1180.
    9. Richard T. Froyen & Alfred V. Guender, 2017. "What to Aim for? The Choice of an Inflation Objective when Openness Matters," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 167-190, February.
    10. Jos� BELBUTE & Ant�nio CALEIRO, 2009. "Measuring Persistence On Consumption In Portugal," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 4(2(8)_ Sum).
    11. Alfred Guender, 2005. "On discretion versus commitment and the role of the direct exchange rate channel in a forward-looking open economy model," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 355-377.
    12. J. M. Belbute & A. B. Caleiro, 2013. "Cross Country Evidence on Consumption Persistence," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 3(2), pages 440-440.
    13. Belbute, José Manuel, 2013. "Is the Euro-Area core price index really more persistent than the food and energy price indexes?," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(4), pages 307-315.
    14. Hyuk Rhee & Nurlan Turdaliev, 2012. "Targeting Rules for an Open Economy," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 447-471, July.
    15. Guender, Alfred V., 2011. "The timeless perspective vs. discretion: Theory and monetary policy implications for an open economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(8), pages 1638-1658.
    16. Richard T. Froyen & Alfred V. Guender, 2021. "A re-evaluation of the choice of an inflation target in the wake of the global financial crisis," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(3), pages 277-288, September.
    17. Matheson, Troy D., 2008. "Phillips curve forecasting in a small open economy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 98(2), pages 161-166, February.
    18. Richard T. Froyen & Alfred V. Guender, 2012. "Instrument versus Target Rules As Specifications of Optimal Monetary Policy," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(1), pages 99-123, April.
    19. Thorvardur Tjörvi Ólafsson, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: In Search of Improvements and Adaptation to the Open Economy," Economics wp31_tjorvi, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    20. Richard T. Froyen & Alfred Guender, 2011. "Instrument Versus Target Rules As Specifications of Optimal Monetary Policy: What are the Issues, If Any?," Working Papers in Economics 11/20, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    21. Alfred Guender & Yu Xie, 2007. "Is there an exchange rate channel in the forward-looking Phillips curve? A theoretical and empirical investigation," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(1), pages 5-28.
    22. Alho, Kari & Nikula, Nuutti, 2007. "Productivity, Employment and Taxes - A SVAR Analysis of Trade-offs and Impacts," Discussion Papers 1074, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
    23. Froyen, Richard T. & Guender, Alfred V., 2018. "The real exchange rate in Taylor rules: A Re-Assessment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 140-151.

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