IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ebl/ecbull/eb-22-00428.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Platform Perils: The winner's curse on B2C consumer lending platforms

Author

Listed:
  • Endre J. Reite

    (Norwegian University of Science and Technology, NTNU Buisness School)

  • Joakim Blix Prestmo

    (NTNU, Department of Economics)

Abstract

This article compares the estimate of credit risk and actual defaults on unsecured loans originating from a B2C lending platform to a bank with those taken directly from the same bank. Our study expands on earlier research by comparing credit scoring and default-level differences through simulations of banks' bidding process for a loan with similar credit risk models. Banks systematically and significantly underestimate the risk of loan applications through the B2C lending platform. The bank also experiences a disproportional loss of profitable clients on platform loans. Credit risk models from direct lending should be adjusted for this bias before they are employed in platform lending. Both effects can be linked to a winner's curse consistent with both theory and simulations, which is not previously explored.

Suggested Citation

  • Endre J. Reite & Joakim Blix Prestmo, 2023. "Platform Perils: The winner's curse on B2C consumer lending platforms," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 500-509.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-22-00428
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2023/Volume43/EB-23-V43-I1-P40.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Liran Einav & Chiara Farronato & Jonathan Levin, 2016. "Peer-to-Peer Markets," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 8(1), pages 615-635, October.
    2. Peeters Ronald & Tenev Anastas P., 2018. "Number of Bidders and the Winner’s Curse," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 18(3), pages 1-4, July.
    3. Kagel, John H. & Levin, Dan, 1986. "The Winner's Curse and Public Information in Common Value Auctions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(5), pages 894-920, December.
    4. Ronald Peeters & Anastas P. Tenev, 2018. "Number of bidders and the winner’s curse," Working Papers 1802, University of Otago, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2018.
    5. Edelberg, Wendy, 2006. "Risk-based pricing of interest rates for consumer loans," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(8), pages 2283-2298, November.
    6. Reite, Endre J., 2022. "Information asymmetry between banks, rent extraction, and switching in mortgage lending," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    7. Adair Morse, 2015. "Peer-to-Peer Crowdfunding: Information and the Potential for Disruption in Consumer Lending," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 463-482, December.
    8. Milne, Alistair & Parboteeah, Paul, 2016. "The Business Models and Economics of Peer-to-Peer Lending," ECRI Papers 11594, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    9. Adair Morse, 2015. "Peer-to-Peer Crowdfunding: Information and the Potential for Disruption in Consumer Lending," NBER Working Papers 20899, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kräussl, Roman & Kräussl, Zsofia & Pollet, Joshua & Rinne, Kalle, 2024. "The performance of marketplace lenders," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    2. Kräussl, Roman & Kräussl, Zsofia & Pollet, Joshua & Rinne, Kalle, 2018. "The performance of marketplace lenders: Evidence from lending club payment data," CFS Working Paper Series 598, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    3. Dömötör, Barbara & Ölvedi, Tímea, 2021. "A személyközi hitelezés létjogosultsága a pénzügyi közvetítésben [The relevance of peer-to-peer lending in financial intermediation]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 773-793.
    4. Calebe de Roure & Loriana Pelizzon & Anjan Thakor, 2022. "P2P Lenders versus Banks: Cream Skimming or Bottom Fishing? [Loan officer incentives, internal rating models and default rates]," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(2), pages 213-262.
    5. Anita Mirchandani & Namrata Gupta & Esinath Ndiweni, 2020. "Understanding the Fintech Wave: A Search for a Theoretical Explanation," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 331-343.
    6. Thakor, Anjan V., 2020. "Fintech and banking: What do we know?," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    7. Bollaert, Helen & Lopez-de-Silanes, Florencio & Schwienbacher, Armin, 2021. "Fintech and access to finance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    8. Manconi, Alberto & Braggion, Fabio & Zhu, Haikun, 2018. "Can Technology Undermine Macroprudential Regulation? Evidence from Peer-to-Peer Credit in China," CEPR Discussion Papers 12668, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. repec:zbw:bofitp:2019_022 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Biancini, Sara & Verdier, Marianne, 2023. "Bank-platform competition in the credit market," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    11. James Wang, 2020. "Screening soft information: evidence from loan officers," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 51(4), pages 1287-1322, December.
    12. Olena Havrylchyk, 2018. "Regulatory framework for the loan-based crowdfunding platforms," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1513, OECD Publishing.
    13. Andreas Dietrich & Reto Rey, 2020. "What Matters to Individual Investors: Price Setting in Online Auctions of P2P Consumer Loans," Papers 2003.11347, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    14. Carla Martínez-Climent & Ana Zorio-Grima & Domingo Ribeiro-Soriano, 2018. "Financial return crowdfunding: literature review and bibliometric analysis," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 527-553, September.
    15. Zhu, Zongyuan, 2018. "Safety promise, moral hazard and financial supervision: Evidence from peer-to-peer lending," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 1-5.
    16. Tobias Berg & Andreas Fuster & Manju Puri, 2022. "FinTech Lending," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 187-207, November.
    17. Manuel Mira Godinho, 2020. "Evolução das assimetrias na produção de conhecimento científicoe tecnológico a nível global: análise com enfoque nas trajetórias de Brasil e Portugal," Working Papers REM 2020/0145, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    18. Rajkamal Iyer & Asim Ijaz Khwaja & Erzo F. P. Luttmer & Kelly Shue, 2016. "Screening Peers Softly: Inferring the Quality of Small Borrowers," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(6), pages 1554-1577, June.
    19. Caglayan, Mustafa & Talavera, Oleksandr & Zhang, Wei, 2021. "Herding behaviour in P2P lending markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 27-41.
    20. Benjamin Käfer, 2016. "Peer-to-Peer Lending – A (Financial Stability) Risk Perspective," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201622, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    21. Jagtiani, Julapa & Lemieux, Catharine, 2018. "Do fintech lenders penetrate areas that are underserved by traditional banks?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 43-54.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    winner's curse; peer-to-peer lending; financial transparency; consumer loans; marketplace lending;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • C7 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-22-00428. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: John P. Conley (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.