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Is international tourism responsible for the pandemic of COVID-19? A very preliminary assessment with a special focus on small islands

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  • Jean-François Hoarau

    (CEMOI, University of La Reunion)

Abstract

This note aims at analysing the role of international tourism attractiveness as a potential factor for the outbreak and the spread of the recent COVID-19 disease across the world with a special focus on small island economies. Econometric testing over a cross-section sample including 205 countries/territories, states that a positive and significant relationship exists between COVID-19 prevalence and inbound tourism arrivals. Thus international tourism must be seen as one of the main responsible factors for the recent pandemic in the first stage of the spread. Accordingly, this finding suggests that the tourism specialization model in the context of small islands is too vulnerable to be considered as sustainable in the medium and long-run.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-François Hoarau, 2020. "Is international tourism responsible for the pandemic of COVID-19? A very preliminary assessment with a special focus on small islands," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(3), pages 2395-2407.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-20-00339
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jean-François Hoarau, 2020. "Is international tourism responsible for the pandemic of COVID-19? A preliminary cross-country analysis with a special focus on small islands," TEPP Working Paper 2020-04, TEPP.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jean-François Hoarau, 2021. "État des lieux, menaces et perspectives futures pour le tourisme à La Réunion : un regard macroéconomique," Post-Print hal-03546567, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; Health epidemics; International tourism; Small islands; Vulnerability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • I1 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health

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