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Stock Prices and Dividends in Taiwan's Stock Market: Evidence Based on Time-Varying Present Value Model

Author

Listed:
  • Chi-Wei Su

    (Department of Finance, Providence University, Taichung, Taiwan)

  • Yahn-Shir Chen

    (Department of Accounting, National Yunlin University of Science and Technology)

  • Hsu-Ling Chang

    (Department of Accounting and Information, Ling Tung University, Taichung, TAIWAN)

Abstract

In this study, we use the newly developed momentum threshold unit root and cointegration tests advanced by Enders and Granger (1998), and Enders and Siklos (2001) to investigate if there is any asymmetric adjustment in long-run prices and dividends in Taiwan¡¦s stock market during June 1991 to February 2005. The empirical results indicate that long-run prices and dividends cointegration relationship holds for the majority of Taiwan¡¦s stock market, but that adjustment mechanism is asymmetric. The results for most industries from the M-TAR cointegration tests attest to the absence of rational bubbles in Taiwan¡¦s stock market. These results have important policy implications for investors.

Suggested Citation

  • Chi-Wei Su & Yahn-Shir Chen & Hsu-Ling Chang, 2007. "Stock Prices and Dividends in Taiwan's Stock Market: Evidence Based on Time-Varying Present Value Model," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 7(4), pages 1-12.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-07g10003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Momentum Threshold Autoregressive (MTAR) Cointegration Tests Rational Bubbles Asymmetric Adjustment;

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

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