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Impact Of Myanmar’S Trade Liberalization On The Country’S International Trade Environment: A Gravity Approach

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  • Jinhwan OH
  • Kyi Cin THANT

Abstract

Using a gravity model with a panel dataset encompassing ASEAN countries and their 85 trading partners for a 15-year time period (1994-2008), this study empirically examines ASEAN members’ trade pattern. Then, using this empirical result, we simulate Myanmar’s gravity-based predicted trade flows. This simulation reveals that Myanmar’s trade has been distorted due to political factors, including economic sanctions. However, the degree of distortion has been varying over countries; distortion with Japan has declined while distortion with the U.S. has increased. As a result of these political factors, economic contact with Myanmar’s neighboring countries, particularly with Thailand has skyrocketed.

Suggested Citation

  • Jinhwan OH & Kyi Cin THANT, 2016. "Impact Of Myanmar’S Trade Liberalization On The Country’S International Trade Environment: A Gravity Approach," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 16(2), pages 141-156.
    • Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:16:y:2016:i:2_11
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Bergstrand, Jeffrey H, 1989. "The Generalized Gravity Equation, Monopolistic Competition, and the Factor-Proportions Theory in International Trade," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(1), pages 143-153, February.
    4. Nu, Nu Lwin, 2009. "Analysis on International Trade of CLM Countries," IDE Discussion Papers 215, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    5. Berthelemy, Jean-Claude & Tichit, Ariane, 2004. "Bilateral donors' aid allocation decisions--a three-dimensional panel analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 253-274.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Thet Mon Soe, 2021. "Myanmar’s Manufacturing Exports After the Lifting of Economic Sanctions," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 56(2), pages 147-164, May.
    2. Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2021. "Manufacturing exports after the lifting of economic sanctions in Myanmar," MPRA Paper 107956, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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