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Trends , Patterns and Determinants of Indian Current Account Deficit

Author

Listed:
  • Mohd. FAYAZ
  • Kaur Bhatia SANDEEP

Abstract

India’s current account experience deteriorated due to its large dependence on imports and un-competitiveness of exports. The relation between external and internal balances, with deficit in specific, deserves significant attention. Thus to understand the factors influencing current account is important for better designing the policies aiming at sustainable Current Account Deficit (CAD). In this direction, the present study is an endeavour to enrich the existing literature on the trends, patterns and determinants of current account deficit in India since 1996. The study adopts Johansen Cointegration approach to identify long-run relationship and uses Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to identify short-run relationship. The results of Johansen Cointegration test indicates the existence of long-run equilibrium relationship between the current account and the variables of interest, implying that India’s current account is influenced by these factors. On the basis of the empirical results, study concluded that continuously increasing Net Foreign Assets (NFAs) will lead to the betterment of the current account while, increase in imports encompassing exchange rate deterioration will keep on mounting pressure on CAD of India.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohd. FAYAZ & Kaur Bhatia SANDEEP, 2016. "Trends , Patterns and Determinants of Indian Current Account Deficit," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 16(1).
    • Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:16:y:2016:i:1_13
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Mohd Fayaz & Sandeep Kaur, 2022. "India’s Merchandise Exports to Asia: A Constant Market Share Analysis," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 57(2), pages 178-197, May.
    2. Filiz Mızrak & Serhat Yüksel, 2019. "Significant Determiners of Greek Debt Crisis: A Comparative Analysis with Probit and MARS Approaches," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 8(3), pages 33-50, July.
    3. Gulshan Farooq BHAT & Sandeep KAUR, 2019. "Human Resource Development, Structural Transformation, Employment Generation And Innovation: India, China, Japan And South Korea, 1990-2016," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 19(1), pages 95-114.
    4. Gulshan Farooq BHAT & Dr. Sandeep Kaur BHATIA, 2017. "An Empirical Analysis Of Growth Determinants In India And South Korea: Possible Lessons For India," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 17(2), pages 155-174.
    5. Mohd. Fayaz & Sandeep Kaur Bhatia, 2018. "Technological Intensity of Indian Exports and the Performance of Emerging Asian Economies," Emerging Economy Studies, International Management Institute, vol. 4(1), pages 62-77, May.
    6. Mohd. FAYAZ & Sandeep KAUR, 2019. "An Empirical Analysis Of The Determinants Of India’S High-Technology Exports," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 19(2), pages 29-44.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Current Account Deficit; Trade; Cointegration; India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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