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Relationship between Gold and Oil Prices and Stock Market Returns

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Mansoor Baig

    (Department of Commerce, University of Sargodha)

  • Muhammad Shahbaz

    (Deparment of Commerce, University of Sargodha)

  • Muhammad Imran

    (Deparment of Commerce, University of Sargodha)

  • Mehwish Jabbar

    (Deparment of Commerce, University of Sargodha)

  • Qurat Ul Ain

    (Deparment of Commerce, University of Sargodha)

Abstract

This study objective to examine the relationship between gold prices, oil prices and KSE100 return. This study important for the investor whose want to invest in real assets and financial assets. This study helps investor to achieve the portfolio diversification. This study uses the monthly data of gold prices, KSE100, and oil prices for the period of 2000 to 2010 (monthly). This study applied Descriptive statistics, Augmented Dickey Fuller test Phillip Perron test, Johansen and Jelseluis Co-integration test, Variance Decomposition test to find relationship. This study concludes that Gold prices growth, Oil prices growth and KSE100 return have no significant relationship in the long run. This study provides information to the investors who want to get the benefit of diversification by investing in Gold, Oil and stock market. In the current era Gold prices and oil prices are fluctuating day by day and investors think that stock returns may or may not affected by these fluctuations. This study is unique because it focuses on current issues and takes the current data in this research to help the investment institutions or portfolio managers.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Mansoor Baig & Muhammad Shahbaz & Muhammad Imran & Mehwish Jabbar & Qurat Ul Ain, 2013. "Relationship between Gold and Oil Prices and Stock Market Returns," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 5(5), pages 28-39, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:dug:actaec:y:2013:i:5:p:28-39
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    File URL: http://journals.univ-danubius.ro/index.php/oeconomica/article/view/1901/1902
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Toraman, Cengiz & Basarir, Cagatay & Bayramoglu, Mehmet Fatih, 2011. "Determination of Factors Affecting the Price of Gold: A Study of MGARCH Model," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 2(4), pages 1-37, October.
    2. Takashi Miyazaki & Yuki Toyoshima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2012. "Exploring the dynamic interdependence between gold and other financial markets," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(1), pages 37-50.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ahmad, Nasir & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Does inter-region portfolio diversification pay more than the international diversification?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 26-35.
    2. Moradia, Abha & Mehta, Ashish C., 2018. "Analyzing gold returns: Indian perspective," MPRA Paper 92989, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Subrata Roy, 2020. "Gold & Stock Relation: Investors’ Reaction During Covid-19 Outbreak," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 26, pages 29-52, December.
    4. Samadi, Ali Hussein & Owjimehr, Sakine & Nezhad Halafi, Zohoor, 2021. "The cross-impact between financial markets, Covid-19 pandemic, and economic sanctions: The case of Iran," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 34-55.
    5. Srinivasan P., 2014. "Gold Price, Stock Price and Exchange rate Nexus: The Case of India," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 17(52), pages 77-94, June.
    6. ROY Subrata, 2020. "Gold & Stock Relation: Investors Reaction During Covid-19 Outbreak," Revista Economica, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 72(3), pages 103-126, November.

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