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The compositional effects of education and employment on Greek male and female fertility rates during 2000‒2014

Author

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  • Christos Bagavos

    (Panteion University of Social and Political Sciences)

  • Alexandra Tragaki

    (Harokopio University)

Abstract

Background: As many of the advanced countries that were hit hard by the recent economic recession also have persistently low fertility rates, researchers are increasingly interested in examining how the education‒employment gradient shapes fertility outcomes. Objective: Our aim in this paper is to enrich the discussion about variation in crisis-driven fertility patterns by focusing on male fertility, and by comparing the fertility behavioral patterns and the compositional factors of male and female fertility under 'Great Recession' conditions. Methods: We estimate the education- and employment-specific fertility rates of men and women for the 2000‒2014 period in Greece. Using a mixed standardization and decomposition method, we estimate the influence of changes in educational levels and employment status on total male and female fertility, which we call the "compositional effect;" and of changes in fertility behavior, which we call the "fertility effect." Results: During the recent economic recession, the decline in fertility has been far from uniform across genders, educational levels, and employment statuses. Moreover, it appears that the changes in male and female fertility rates have been driven by different underlying forces. We find that among men, negative shifts in employability were exclusively responsible for the decline in fertility rates; whereas among women, changes in the TFR were steadily conditioned by the pure fertility effect. Conclusions: Our findings suggest that the compositional effect on the period total fertility rate might be more important than fertility behavior per se, especially during time periods when economic variables clearly contribute to fertility outcomes. Contribution: The topics tackled in the paper are potentially interesting and under-researched in particular in the context of the recent economic recession.

Suggested Citation

  • Christos Bagavos & Alexandra Tragaki, 2017. "The compositional effects of education and employment on Greek male and female fertility rates during 2000‒2014," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 36(47), pages 1435-1452.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:36:y:2017:i:47
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2017.36.47
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    Cited by:

    1. Konstantinos N. Zafeiris & Georgios Kontogiannis & Byron Kotzamanis, 2024. "The evolution of fertility in Greece since the 1960s: a joinpoint regression analysis," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 41(4), pages 1-20, December.
    2. Dudel, Christian & Klüsener, Sebastian, 2019. "New opportunities for comparative male fertility research: Insights from a new data resource based on high-quality birth registers," SocArXiv 8kqws, Center for Open Science.
    3. Christian Dudel & Sebastian Klüsener, 2021. "Male–Female Fertility Differentials Across 17 High-Income Countries: Insights From A New Data Resource," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 37(2), pages 417-441, April.
    4. Christian Dudel & Sebastian Klüsener, 2019. "New opportunities for comparative male fertility research: insights from a new data resource based on high-quality birth registers," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2019-023, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    5. Christos Bagavos, 2019. "On the multifaceted impact of migration on the fertility of receiving countries: Methodological insights and contemporary evidence for Europe, the United States, and Australia," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 41(1), pages 1-36.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Greece; economic recession; male fertility; female fertility; decomposition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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