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A formal decomposition of declining youth crime in Denmark

Author

Listed:
  • Lars H. Andersen

    (Rockwool Fonden)

  • Anne Sofie Tegner Anker

    (Rockwool Fonden)

  • Signe Hald Andersen

    (Rockwool Fonden)

Abstract

Background: Over the recent decades and across most developed democracies, youth crime has been in steady decline, and declining youth crime now constitutes an important contemporary demographic change. Yet underneath this change lingers the question of how we should best grasp declining youth crime. Objective: To decompose declining youth crime in Denmark into its extensive and intensive margins, and show results from birth cohort analyses. Methods: We apply Das Gupta’s (1993) method for rate decomposition to Danish registry data that holds information on all criminal justice contacts of full birth cohorts. We show results among 15-17-year-old youth by year as well as follow birth cohorts by age. Results: The main driver of declining youth crime in Denmark is that fewer young people are experiencing contact with the criminal justice (extensive margin), and not lower rates of criminal recidivism among youth with criminal justice contact (intensive margin); a result which is found using both year and birth cohort analyses. Contribution: The knowledge provided in our descriptive findings ‒ that change at the extensive margin is the main driver of declining youth crime in Denmark ‒ represents a first step towards understanding the important demographic change that youth crime has been in decline across developed democracies over the past decades.

Suggested Citation

  • Lars H. Andersen & Anne Sofie Tegner Anker & Signe Hald Andersen, 2016. "A formal decomposition of declining youth crime in Denmark," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 35(44), pages 1303-1316.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:35:y:2016:i:44
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2016.35.44
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cunningham, A. Scott & Engelstätter, Benjamin & Ward, Michael R., 2011. "Understanding the effects of violent video games on violent crime," ZEW Discussion Papers 11-042, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    2. Michael R. Ward, 2011. "Video Games And Crime," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 29(2), pages 261-273, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mikko Aaltonen & Sasu Tyni & Pekka Martikainen & Joonas Pitkänen, 2024. "The changing socioeconomic composition of the Finnish prison population," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 51(27), pages 823-854.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    decomposition; registry data; cohort analysis; Denmark; youth crime;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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