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Chronological objects in demographic research

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  • Frans Willekens

    (Nederlands Interdisciplinair Demografisch Instituut (NIDI))

Abstract

Background: Calendar time, age and duration are chronological objects. They represent an instant or a time period. Age and duration are usually expressed in units with varying lengths. The number of days in a month or a year depends on the position on the calendar. The units are also not homogeneous and the structure influences measurement. One solution, common in demography, is to use units that are large enough for the results not to be seriously affected by differences in length and structure. Another approach is to take the idiosyncrasy of calendars into account and to work directly with calendar dates. The technology that enables logical and arithmetic operations on dates is available. Objective: To illustrate logical and arithmetic operations on dates and conversions between time measurements. Methods: Software packages include utilities to process dates. I use existing and a few new utilities in R to illustrate operations on dates and conversions between calendar dates and elapsed time since a reference moment or a reference event. Three demographic applications are presented. The first is the impact of preferences for dates and days on demographic indicators. The second is event history analysis with time-varying covariates. The third is microsimulation of life histories in continuous time. Conclusions: The technology exists to perform operations directly on dates, enabling more precise calculations of duration and elapsed time in demographic analysis. It eliminates the need for (a) approximations and (b) transformations of dates, such as Century Month Code, that are convenient for computing durations but are a barrier to interpretation. Operations on dates, such as the computation of age, should consider time units of varying length.

Suggested Citation

  • Frans Willekens, 2013. "Chronological objects in demographic research," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 28(23), pages 649-680.
  • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:28:y:2013:i:23
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2013.28.23
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dimiter Philipov & Henriette Engelhardt & Maria Rita Testa & Maria Winkler-Dworak & Richard Gisser & Tomás Sobotka & Wolfgang Lutz, 2005. "Monthly Estimates of the Quantum of Fertility: Towards a Fertility Monitoring System in Austria," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 3(1), pages 109-141.
    2. Grolemund, Garrett & Wickham, Hadley, 2011. "Dates and Times Made Easy with lubridate," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 40(i03).
    3. Tomas Sobotka & Maria Winkler-Dworak & Maria Rita Testa & Wolfgang Lutz & Dimiter Philipov & Henriette Engelhardt & Richard Gisser, 2005. "Monthly Estimates of the Quantum of Fertility: Towards a Fertility Monitoring System in Austria," VID Working Papers 0501, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna.
    4. Phillips, David & Barker, Gwendolyn E. & Brewer, Kimberly M., 2010. "Christmas and New Year as risk factors for death," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 71(8), pages 1463-1471, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Alessandra Minello & Gianpiero Dalla Zuanna & Guido Alfani, 2021. "The growing number of given names as a clue to the beginning of the demographic transition in Europe," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 45(6), pages 187-220.
    2. Leonardo Piccione & Gianpiero Dalla Zuanna & Alessandra Minello, 2014. "Mortality selection in the first three months of life and survival in the following thirty-three months in rural Veneto (North-East Italy) from 1816 to 1835," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 31(39), pages 1199-1228.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    calendar data; age measurement; duration; dates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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