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Geographical diversity of cause-of-death patterns and trends in Russia

Author

Listed:
  • Jacques Vallin

    (Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED))

  • Evgeny M. Andreev

    (New Economic School)

  • France Meslé

    (Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED))

  • Vladimir Shkolnikov

    (Max-Planck-Institut für Demografische Forschung)

Abstract

This paper performs a systematic analysis of all currently available Russian data on mortality by region, census year (1970, 1979, 1989, and 1994) and cause of death. It investigates what links may be found between these geographical variations in cause-specific mortality, the negative general trends observed since 1965, and the wide fluctuations of the last two decades. For that, four two-year periods of observation were selected where it was possible to calculate fairly reliable mortality indicators by geographic units using census data for 1970, 1979, 1989, and micro-census data for 1994, and used a clustering model. Behind the complexity of the studied universe, three main conclusions appeared. Firstly, in European Russia, there is a stark contrast between south-west and north-east, both in terms of total mortality and of cause-of-death patterns. Secondly, analysis of overall cause-of-death patterns for all periods combined clearly confirms that contrast at the whole country level by the prolongation of the southern part of European Russia through the continuation of the black soil ("chernoziom") belt along the Kazakhstan border, while the rest of Siberia presents a radically different picture to European Russia. Thirdly, while it is difficult to infer any permanent geographical pattern of mortality from that very fluctuating piece of history, 1988-89 appears to be a base period for at least the entire period from 1969-1994.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacques Vallin & Evgeny M. Andreev & France Meslé & Vladimir Shkolnikov, 2005. "Geographical diversity of cause-of-death patterns and trends in Russia," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 12(13), pages 323-380.
  • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:12:y:2005:i:13
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2005.12.13
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shkolnikov, Vladimir M. & Cornia, Giovanni A. & Leon, David A. & Mesle, France, 1998. "Causes of the Russian mortality crisis: Evidence and interpretations," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 26(11), pages 1995-2011, November.
    2. repec:cai:popine:popu_p1994_49n3_0790 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Fanny Janssen & Anthe van den Hende & Joop de Beer & Leo van Wissen, 2016. "Sigma and beta convergence in regional mortality: A case study of the Netherlands," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 35(4), pages 81-116.
    2. Pavel Grigoriev & France Meslé & Jacques Vallin, 2012. "Reconstruction of continuous time series of mortality by cause of death in Belarus, 1965–2010," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2012-023, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    3. Géraldine Duthé & Michel Guillot & France Meslé & Jacques Vallin & Irina Badurashvili & Mikhail Denisenko & Natalia Gavrilova & Karine Kuyumjyan & Liudmila Torgasheva, 2017. "Adult mortality patterns in the former Soviet Union’s southern tier: Armenia and Georgia in comparative perspective," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 36(19), pages 589-608.
    4. Sergey Timonin & Inna Danilova & Evgeny Andreev & Vladimir M. Shkolnikov, 2017. "Recent Mortality Trend Reversal in Russia: Are Regions Following the Same Tempo?," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 33(5), pages 733-763, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    mortality; cause of death; Russia; geography; clustering;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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