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Stock Returns before and after Calls of Convertible Bonds

Author

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  • Cowan, Arnold R.
  • Nayar, Nandkumar
  • Singh, Ajai K.

Abstract

Ofer and Natarajan (1987) report negative, statistically significant cumulative average abnormal returns over five years following convertible bond calls. We show that these results are obtained only if returns preceding the call dates are used for market model parameter estimation. Returns preceding calls tend to be positive and unusually large. This means that predicted post-call returns, based on pre-call parameter estimates, are biased upward. Consequently, the corresponding abnormal returns are biased downward. We also discuss a corrected test statistic. We conclude that the evidence does not indicate market inefficiency in the stock price reaction to convertible calls.

Suggested Citation

  • Cowan, Arnold R. & Nayar, Nandkumar & Singh, Ajai K., 1990. "Stock Returns before and after Calls of Convertible Bonds," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(4), pages 549-554, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:25:y:1990:i:04:p:549-554_00
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    Cited by:

    1. David K. Ding & Angie Low, 2004. "The Designation and Removal of Trustee Stock Status: Wealth Effects," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3‐4), pages 505-538, April.
    2. Palani‐Rajan Kadapakkam & Huey‐Lian Sun & Alex P. Tang, 2004. "Operating Performance and Stock Returns of Firms Calling Convertible Preferred Stocks," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(9‐10), pages 1559-1576, November.
    3. Jabbour, Alain R. & Jalilvand, Abolhassan & Switzer, Jeannette A., 2000. "Pre-bid price run-ups and insider trading activity: Evidence from Canadian acquisitions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 21-43, February.
    4. Philipp M. Schlumpf & Markus M. Schmid & Heinz Zimmermann, 2008. "The First‐ and Second‐Hand Effect of Analysts' Stock Recommendations: Evidence from the Swiss Stock Market," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 14(5), pages 962-988, November.
    5. Harold A. Black & Raphael W. Bostic & Breck L. Robinson & Robert L. Schweitzer, 2005. "Do CRA‐Related Events Affect Shareholder Wealth? The Case of Bank Mergers," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 40(4), pages 575-586, November.
    6. Omar, Ayishat & Tang, Alex P., 2019. "Earnings management and convertible preferred stock calls," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 423-433.
    7. Ulrich Erxleben & Dirk Schiereck, 2015. "Wealth creation of mergers in downturn markets," Journal of Management Control: Zeitschrift für Planung und Unternehmenssteuerung, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 317-345, October.
    8. Sant, Rajiv & Zaman, Mir A., 1996. "Market reaction to Business Week 'Inside Wall Street' column: A self-fulfilling prophecy," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 617-643, May.
    9. Tobias Nigbur, 2015. "Calls of convertible debt securities: no bad news at all," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 29(1), pages 61-79, February.
    10. repec:bla:finmgt:v:36:y:2007:i:2:p:1-21:1 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Bechmann, Ken L. & Lunde, Asger & Zebedee, Allan A., 2014. "In- and out-of-the-money convertible bond calls: Signaling or price pressure?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 135-148.
    12. Mark L. Power & Frederick H. Dark & Ajai K. Singh, 2000. "Politics, Insurance Regulation, and Unfunded Pension Liabilities," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 3(1), pages 29-44, March.
    13. Wang, Chuan & Murgulov, Zoltan & Haman, Janto, 2015. "Impact of changes in the CSI 300 Index constituents," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 13-33.
    14. Prombutr, Wikrom & Lockwood, Jimmy & Zhang, Ying & Le, Steven V., 2016. "Investor response to online value line rank changes: Foreign versus local stocks," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 10-26.
    15. Arnold R. Cowan, 1996. "Convertible Exchangeable Preferred Stock," Finance 9606001, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Aug 1996.
    16. Altintig, Z. Ayca & Butler, Alexander W., 2005. "Are they still called late? The effect of notice period on calls of convertible bonds," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(1-2), pages 337-350, March.
    17. Giaccotto, Carmelo & Sfiridis, James M., 1996. "Hypothesis testing in event studies: The case of variance changes," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 48(4), pages 349-370, October.
    18. Jan-Peer Laabs & Dirk Schiereck, 2010. "The long-term success of M&A in the automotive supply industry: determinants of capital market performance," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 34(1), pages 61-88, January.

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