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Hopes and Fears: The New World Trade Negotiations and Southern Agriculture

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  • Marchant, Mary A.

Abstract

Understanding the impacts of the Uruguay Round (UR) Agreement on southern commodities serves as a starting point to assess the potential impacts of the next global trade negotiations in terms of hope (expanding export markets) and fear (new competition). Key issues examined include whether or not the UR Agreement resulted in new markets or new competition for key southern commodities—cotton, poultry, tobacco, and rice. For new markets, export data were analyzed to determine if exports increased since the passage of the UR Agreement in 1994. Also, countries that are leading world importers of these southern commodities were identified and data analyzed to determine whether the U.S. is exporting to these top markets. Alternatively, to assess whether the UR Agreement resulted in new competition for southern commodities, countries that are leading world exporters were identified and data analyzed to determine whether the U.S. is among them. Data analyses was supplemented with interviews of southern commodities experts who assess impacts of the GATT-UR and identify issues for the next round of global trade negotiations.

Suggested Citation

  • Marchant, Mary A., 1999. "Hopes and Fears: The New World Trade Negotiations and Southern Agriculture," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(2), pages 185-200, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:31:y:1999:i:02:p:185-200_00
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gail L. Cramer & James M. Hansen & Eric J. Wailes, 1999. "Impact of Rice Tariffication on Japan and the World Rice Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 81(5), pages 1149-1156.
    2. P. Lynn Kennedy & Won W. Koo & Mary A. Marchant, 1999. "Key Issues and Challenges for the 1999 World Trade Organization Agriculture Round," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 81(5), pages 1134-1141.
    3. Brown, A. Blake & Snell, William M. & Tiller, Kelly H., 1999. "The Changing Political Environment for Tobacco—Implications for Southern Tobacco Farmers, Rural Economies, Taxpayers, and Consumers," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(2), pages 291-308, August.
    4. Brown, A. Blake & Snell, William M. & Tiller, Kelly, 1999. "The Changing Political Environment For Tobacco -- Implications For Southern Tobacco Farmers, Rural Economies, Taxpayers, And Consumers," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(2), pages 1-18, August.
    5. William Amponsah & Dale Colyer & Curtis M. Jolly, 1999. "Global Trade Integration and Economic Convergence of Developing Countries," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 81(5), pages 1142-1148.
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    1. Kennedy, P. Lynn & Brink, Lars & Dyck, John H. & MacLaren, Donald, 2001. "Domestic Support: Issues And Options In The Agricultural Negotiations," Commissioned Papers 14622, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    2. Harrison, R. Wes, 2013. "The RESTORE Act of 2012: Implications for the Gulf Coast," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45, pages 1-7, August.

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