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Nonparametric Estimation Of Volatility Functions: The Local Exponential Estimator

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  • Ziegelmann, Flavio A.

Abstract

Kernel smoothing techniques free the traditional parametric estimators of volatility from the constraints related to their specific models. In this paper the nonparametric local exponential estimator is applied to estimate conditional volatility functions, ensuring its nonnegativity. Its asymptotic properties are established and compared with those for the local linear estimator. It theoretically enables us to determine when the exponential is expected to be superior to the linear estimator. A very strong and novel result is achieved: the exponential estimator is asymptotically fully adaptive to unknown conditional mean functions. Also, our simulation study shows superior performance of the exponential estimator.

Suggested Citation

  • Ziegelmann, Flavio A., 2002. "Nonparametric Estimation Of Volatility Functions: The Local Exponential Estimator," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(4), pages 985-991, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:etheor:v:18:y:2002:i:04:p:985-991_18
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    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Ke-Li, 2010. "Reweighted Functional Estimation Of Diffusion Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(2), pages 541-563, April.
    2. Kapetanios, George, 2007. "Estimating deterministically time-varying variances in regression models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 97-104, November.
    3. Bădin, Luiza & Daraio, Cinzia & Simar, Léopold, 2012. "How to measure the impact of environmental factors in a nonparametric production model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 223(3), pages 818-833.
    4. Léopold Simar & Ingrid Keilegom & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2017. "Nonparametric least squares methods for stochastic frontier models," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 47(3), pages 189-204, June.
    5. Martins-Filho, Carlos & Ziegelmann, Flávio Augusto & Torrent, Hudson da Silva, 2013. "Local Exponential Frontier Estimation," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 33(2), November.
    6. Ke-Li Xu & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2011. "Tilted Nonparametric Estimation of Volatility Functions With Empirical Applications," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 518-528, October.
    7. Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji & Marwa Ltaifa & Didier Alain Njamen Njomen & Jia Shen, 2022. "Nonparametric Estimation of the Density Function of the Distribution of the Noise in CHARN Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-20, February.
    8. d’Addona, Stefano & Khanom, Najrin, 2022. "Estimating tail-risk using semiparametric conditional variance with an application to meme stocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 241-260.
    9. Enno Mammen & Jens Perch Nielsen & Michael Scholz & Stefan Sperlich, 2019. "Conditional Variance Forecasts for Long-Term Stock Returns," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-22, November.
    10. Peter C.B. Phillips & Ke-Li Xu, 2007. "Tilted Nonparametric Estimation of Volatility Functions," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1612, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Jul 2010.
    11. Pérez-González, A. & Vilar-Fernández, J.M. & González-Manteiga, W., 2010. "Nonparametric variance function estimation with missing data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(5), pages 1123-1142, May.
    12. Kim, Woocheol & Linton, Oliver, 2003. "A local instrumental variable estimation method for generalized additive volatility models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2028, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    13. Zhang, Hongfan, 2018. "Quasi-likelihood estimation of the single index conditional variance model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 58-72.
    14. Léopold Simar & Paul W. Wilson, 2023. "Nonparametric, Stochastic Frontier Models with Multiple Inputs and Outputs," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1391-1403, October.
    15. Ye, Xu-Guo & Lin, Jin-Guan & Zhao, Yan-Yong & Hao, Hong-Xia, 2015. "Two-step estimation of the volatility functions in diffusion models with empirical applications," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 135-159.
    16. Chaouch, Mohamed, 2019. "Volatility estimation in a nonlinear heteroscedastic functional regression model with martingale difference errors," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 129-148.
    17. Isabel Casas & Irene Gijbels, 2009. "Unstable volatility functions: the break preserving local linear estimator," CREATES Research Papers 2009-48, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    18. Christian M. Hafner & Dick van Dijk & Philip Hans Franses, 2006. "Semi-Parametric Modelling of Correlation Dynamics," Advances in Econometrics, in: Econometric Analysis of Financial and Economic Time Series, pages 59-103, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    19. Martins-Filho Carlos & Yao Feng, 2006. "Estimation of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall based on Nonlinear Models of Return Dynamics and Extreme Value Theory," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(2), pages 1-43, May.
    20. Wang, Taining & Henderson, Daniel J., 2022. "Estimation of a varying coefficient, fixed-effects Cobb–Douglas production function in levels," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    21. Kapetanios, George, 2007. "Estimating deterministically time-varying variances in regression models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 97-104, November.

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