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Integración Monetaria: Una Aproximación para Colombia, Ecuador, Perú y Venezuela

Author

Listed:
  • Duban F. Pena
  • Jaime Flórez Bolanos

Abstract

El presente trabajo desarrolla algunos análisis descriptivos y estima algunosde los criterios de Convergencia de Maastrich de la Unión Europea (UE) para la Comunidad Andina de Naciones (CAN), en el sentido de convergenciaeconómica de Barro (1990), para medir la pertinencia de profundizar en un nivel más avanzado de integración. La metodología consistió en adaptar las estimaciones de convergencia tipo beta y tipo sigma a variables como inflación, tipos de cambio (nominal y real) y cuenta corriente (medida por el diferencial de exportaciones e importaciones) para el periodo anual de 1980-2003. Además se realiza el test de Cointegración de Johansen (1988), para medir relaciones de largo plazo y dar soporte a los resultados sobre las relaciones que presentan los países de la Comunidad Andina de Naciones. La conclusión principal es que a pesar de existir algunas relaciones de convergencia, éstas son débiles debido a la naturaleza de la estimación mismapero sustentada en los procesos reales de convergencia que se viven en América Latina, los cuales son de mucha dispersión.

Suggested Citation

  • Duban F. Pena & Jaime Flórez Bolanos, 2006. "Integración Monetaria: Una Aproximación para Colombia, Ecuador, Perú y Venezuela," Revista de Economía y Administración, Universidad Autónoma de Occidente, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000156:004241
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

    Comunidad Andina de Naciones; Procesos de integración económica; Convergencia económica; Test de cointegración de Johansen.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C40 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - General
    • F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order and Integration
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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