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Potential Dividends And Actual Cash Flows In Equity Valuation. A Critical Analysis

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  • IGNACIO VÉLEZ - PAREJA
  • CARLO ALBERTO MAGNI

Abstract

Practitioners and most academics in valuation include changes in liquid assets (potential dividends) in the cash flows. This widespread and wrong practice is inconsistent with basic finance theory. We present economic, theoretical, and empirical arguments to support the thesis. Economic arguments underline that only flows of cash should be considered for valuation; theoretical arguments show how potential dividends lead to contradiction and to arbitrage losses. Empirical arguments, from recent studies, suggest that investors discount potential dividends with high discount rates, which means thatchanges in liquid assets are not value drivers. Hence, when valuing cash flows, we should consider only actual payments.

Suggested Citation

  • Ignacio Vélez - Pareja & Carlo Alberto Magni, 2009. "Potential Dividends And Actual Cash Flows In Equity Valuation. A Critical Analysis," Estudios Gerenciales, Universidad Icesi, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000129:006870
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lee Pinkowitz & Rohan Williamson & René M. Stulz, 2007. "Cash Holdings, Dividend Policy, and Corporate Governance: A Cross‐Country Analysis," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 19(1), pages 81-87, January.
    2. DeAngelo, Harry & DeAngelo, Linda, 2006. "The irrelevance of the MM dividend irrelevance theorem," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 293-315, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Harish Kumar Singla & Anand Prakash, 2021. "Financial determinants of value based performance of construction firms in India," International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 72(4), pages 1025-1050, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cash flow to equity; potential dividends; equity value.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies

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