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The Global Preference for Dividends in Declining Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Michael A. Goldstein
  • Abhinav Goyal
  • Brian M. Lucey
  • Cal B. Muckley

Abstract

Investors globally prefer dividend-paying stocks over nondividend-paying stocks more in declining than in advancing markets, even accounting for firm-level growth opportunities, size and risk effects. Dividend-paying stocks outperform nondividend-paying stocks, from 0.63% (China) to 3.79% (Canada) more per month in declining than in advancing markets. In declining markets, dividend-paying firms outperform by more than any underperformance in advancing markets. The results are robust across dividend taxation regimes, legal environments, emerging and developed markets, periods prior to and after the 2008 global financial crisis, the exclusion of the dividend declaration month and in respect to segmented or integrated international capital markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael A. Goldstein & Abhinav Goyal & Brian M. Lucey & Cal B. Muckley, 2015. "The Global Preference for Dividends in Declining Markets," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 50(4), pages 575-609, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:50:y:2015:i:4:p:575-609
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Júlio Lobão & Patrícia Piedade & Srinivas Nippani, 2022. "Does stock trading volume signal future dividends? Evidence from Iberian firms," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 21(1), pages 53-66, January.
    4. Yao, Wenyun & Zhang, Lei & Hu, Jianxiong, 2020. "Does having a semimandatory dividend policy enhance investor confidence? Research on dividend-financing behavior," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    5. Brawn, Derek A. & Šević, Aleksandar, 2018. "“Firm size matters: Industry sector, firm age and volatility do too in determining which publicly-listed US firms pay a dividend”," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 132-152.
    6. Heli Wang & Ming Jia & Zhe Zhang, 2021. "Good Deeds Done in Silence: Stakeholder Management and Quiet Giving by Chinese Firms," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 32(3), pages 649-674, May.
    7. Bilinski, Pawel & Lyssimachou, Danielle, 2018. "Dividend guidance to manage analyst dividend expectations," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 53-68.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G35 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Payout Policy

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