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Rationality, preferences and irregular war

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Listed:
  • Boris Salazar
  • María del Pilar Castillo

Abstract

We suppose that civilians under threat prefer certain situations within a context of irregular war and endangered survival; they will prefer those situations associated with greater probabilities of survival. Using lexicographical preferences and belief systems, we have shown that civilians will choose not to remain in situations having a lower probability of survival. Linking into social networks allows for shorter deliberation processes, lower decision costs and faster convergence towards collective decision-making. Civilian displacement thus becomes the outcome of a rational decision-making procedure.

Suggested Citation

  • Boris Salazar & María del Pilar Castillo, 2003. "Rationality, preferences and irregular war," Colombian Economic Journal, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000096:003415
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    File URL: http://www.fce.unal.edu.co/cej/number1/1-BORIS.pdf
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    Other versions of this item:

    • Boris Salazar & Maria del Pilar Castillo, 2003. "Rationality, preferences and irregular war," Colombian Economic Journal, Academia Colombiana de Ciencias Economicas, Colegio Mayor de Nuestra Senora del Rosario, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Universidad de Antioquia, Universidad de los Andes, Universidad del Valle, Universidad Externado de Colombia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, vol. 1(1), pages 15-33, December.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    2. Stephen Morris & Hyun Song Shin, "undated". "Approximate Common Knowledge and Co-ordination: Recent Lessons from Game Theory," CARESS Working Papres 97-8, University of Pennsylvania Center for Analytic Research and Economics in the Social Sciences.
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    6. Matthew Rabin, 1998. "Psychology and Economics," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 36(1), pages 11-46, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Alexander Cotte Poveda, 2012. "Empirical research on the relationship between violence and social development in Colombia," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(2), pages 37-56, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Survival;

    JEL classification:

    • C70 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - General

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