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Términos de intercambio, cuenta capital y el modelo de crecimiento restringido por la balanza de pagos: un análisis empírico

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  • Florencia Médici

Abstract

Este artículo se enmarca en los estudios del crecimiento económico restringido por el sector externo en economías con estructuras heterogéneas. Siguiendo el trabajo reciente de Médici y Panigo (2015), se busca brindar evidencia empírica sobre la existencia de efectos omitidos de los términos de intercambio (TDI) en la balanza de pagos de economías concentradas en la explotación de recursos naturales. Según este modelo, la mejora de los TDI no solo tiene efectos positivos al relajar la restricción externa por la cuenta corriente, sino también efectos negativos mediante la salida de divisas por la cuenta capital. The aim of this paper is to contribute to the analysis of the balance-of-paymentsconstrained growth models in structurally heterogeneous economies. Following Medici and Panigo’s (2015) recent article, this paper seeks to provide empirical evidence that disregarded terms of trade (TOT) has negative effects on the balance of payments in economies in which the majority of sectors are based on natural resource exploitation. According to this model, TOT improvements do not only have positive effects on the balance of payment performance through the current account, they also have a negative impact through the capital account.

Suggested Citation

  • Florencia Médici, 2018. "Términos de intercambio, cuenta capital y el modelo de crecimiento restringido por la balanza de pagos: un análisis empírico," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, vol. 37(74), pages 443-470, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000093:016999
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    crecimiento económico; balanza de pagos; términos de intercambio; restricción externa; flujo de capitales;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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