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The balance-of-payments constraint:from balanced trade to sustainable debt

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  • Nelson H. Barbosa-Filho

    (New School University, Center for Economic Policy Analysis, New York (USA))

Abstract

This paper extends the balance-of-payments constraint on growth known as Thirlwall's law to incorporate unbalanced trade and debt accumulation. Assuming that small open economies face a liquidity constraint, the text shows the growth and real-exchange-rate policy rules consistent with a stable ratio of net exports to income. Given such rules, the text shows how the trade balance of a small open economy is residually determined by the ratio of foreign debt to income allowed by international conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Nelson H. Barbosa-Filho, 2001. "The balance-of-payments constraint:from balanced trade to sustainable debt," Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 54(219), pages 381-400.
    • Handle: RePEc:psl:bnlqrr:2001:43
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    File URL: http://ojs.uniroma1.it/index.php/PSLQuarterlyReview/article/view/9952/9833
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Juan Carlos Moreno-Brid, 1998. "On Capital Flows and The Balance-of-Payments-Constrained Growth Model," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 283-298, December.
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    4. J. S. L. McCombie & A. P. Thirlwall, 1994. "Economic Growth and the Balance-of-Payments Constraint," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-1-349-23121-8, October.
    5. Nelson H. Barbosa Filho, 2001. "International Liquidity and Growth in Brazil," SCEPA working paper series. 2001-04, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
    6. Calcagno, Alfredo Fernando & Sáinz, Pedro, 1999. "La economía brasileña ante el Plan Real y su crisis," Series Históricas 7482, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    7. Juan Carlos Moreno-Brid, 1999. "On Capital Flows and the Balance-of-Payments-Constrained Growth Model," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 21(2), pages 283-298, January.
    8. Terra, Maria Cristina T., 1999. "Finance and changing trade patterns in Brazil," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 354, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    9. Thirlwall, Anthony P & Hussain, Mohammed Nureldin, 1982. "The Balance of Payments Constraint, Capital Flows and Growth Rate Differences between Developing Countries," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 34(3), pages 498-510, November.
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    11. Alexander, R. & King, A., 1998. "Growth and the Balance-of-Payment Constraint," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 622, The University of Melbourne.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Balance of Payments; Open Economies; Open Economy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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