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Crédito, represión financiera y flujos de capitales en Colombia: 1974-2003

Author

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  • Villar Gómez Leonardo
  • David M. Salamanca Rojas
  • Andrés Murcia Pabón

Abstract

El grado de profundización financiera en Colombia, medido por la relación entre el crédito al sector privado y el PIB, se ubicaba a finales de 2003 por debajo de los niveles que tenía treinta anos atrás. Esos niveles son extremadamente bajos en comparación con los de economías desarrolladas y con los de economías en desarrollo exitosas. Este trabajo analiza los vínculos entre dicho indicador de profundización, los flujos externos de capital y la regulación financiera en Colombia, entre 1974 y 2003. Con métodos de descomposición contable y ejercicios econométricos sencillos, se presenta una visión histórica y se hacen análisis cuantitativos sobre sus determinantes. Se observa que los ciclos en el crédito doméstico al sector privado en Colombia han coincidido con ciclos en la misma dirección en los flujos externos de capital y que ese comportamiento procíclico del crédito ha sido reforzado por la política de regulación financiera.

Suggested Citation

  • Villar Gómez Leonardo & David M. Salamanca Rojas & Andrés Murcia Pabón, 2005. "Crédito, represión financiera y flujos de capitales en Colombia: 1974-2003," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000090:002237
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    Cited by:

    1. Constanza Martínez Ventura, 2008. "The Effects of Financial Intermediation on Colombian Economic Growth," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 26(57), pages 250-280, December.
    2. Christian Bustamante, 2011. "Política monetaria contracíclica y encaje bancario," Borradores de Economia 8202, Banco de la Republica.
    3. Andrés Murcia Pabón, 2007. "Determinantes del acceso al crédito de los hogares colombianos," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 25(55), pages 40-83, December.
    4. Julián A.Parra Polanía & Carmiña O.Vargas Riaño, 2012. "Valor óptimo del impuesto sobre flujos de capital para Colombia," Borradores de Economia 715, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    5. Juan David Prada Sarmiento, 2008. "Financial Intermediation and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," Borradores de Economia 531, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Esteban Gómez & Andrés Murcia & Nancy Zamudio, 2011. "Financial Conditions Index: Early and Leading Indicator for Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 29(66), pages 174-220, December.
    7. Andrés J. García Bernal & José E. Gómez-González & Tatiana A. Mora-Arbeláez & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2015. "Una historia exhaustiva de la regulación financiera en Colombia: El caso del encaje bancario, derivados financieros y riesgos de crédito," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, vol. 45(2), pages 221-268, December.
    8. Leonardo Villar Gómez & David M. Salamanca Rojas, 2005. "Un modelo teórico sobre crédito, represión financiera y flujos de capital," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 23(48), pages 184-233, Junio.
    9. Esteban Gómez & Sandra Rozo, 2008. "Beyond Bubbles: The Role of Asset Prices in Early-Warning Indicators," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 26(56), pages 114-148, June.
    10. Julian Parra-Polania & Carmiña Vargas, 2015. "Optimal tax on capital inflows discriminated by debt-risk profile," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 22(1), pages 102-119, February.
    11. Villar Gómez Leonardo & David M. Salamanca Rojas & Andrés Murcia Pabón, 2005. "Crédito, represión financiera y flujos de capitales en Colombia: 1974-2003," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, May.
    12. Esteban Gómez & Sandra Rozo, 2008. "Beyond Bubbles: The Role of Asset Prices in Early-Warning Indicators," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 26(56), pages 114-148, June.
    13. Esteban Gómez & Andrés Murcia Pabón & Nancy Zamudio Gómez, 2013. "Foreign Debt Flows and Domestic Credit: A Principal-Agent Approach," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 075, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    14. Luis E. Arango & Lina Cardona-Sosa, 2015. "Determinants of consumer credit within a debt constrained framework. Evidence from microdata," Borradores de Economia 13965, Banco de la Republica.
    15. Gómez, Esteban & Murcia, Andrés & Lizarazo, Angélica & Mendoza, Juan Carlos, 2020. "Evaluating the impact of macroprudential policies on credit growth in Colombia," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    16. Gloria Cecilia Martínez, 2008. "Anatomía de los ciclos económicos en Colombia 1970-2007," Borradores de Economia 4569, Banco de la Republica.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    crédito privado; flujos de capital; represión financiera; ciclos económicos;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements

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