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The extensive margin, sectoral shares, and international business cycles

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  • Michael B. Devereux
  • Viktoria Hnatkovska

Abstract

This paper documents some previously neglected features of sectoral shares at business cycle frequencies in OECD economies. We find that the non-traded output share is as volatile as aggregate GDP and for most countries is countercyclical. While the standard international real business cycle model has difficulty in accounting for these properties of the data, an extended model that allows for sectoral adjustment along both the intensive and the extensive margins does a much better job of replicating these statistics. The model also matches better the correlation between relative consumption growth and real exchange rate changes, a key measure of international risk-sharing.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael B. Devereux & Viktoria Hnatkovska, 2012. "The extensive margin, sectoral shares, and international business cycles," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 45(2), pages 509-534, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:cje:issued:v:45:y:2012:i:2:p:509-534
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5982.2012.01707.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Hamano, Masashige, 2013. "The consumption-real exchange rate anomaly with extensive margins," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 26-46.
    2. Devereux, Michael B. & Kollmann, Robert, 2012. "International Risk Sharing," MPRA Paper 70129, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Laura Povoledo, 2017. "Modelling the sectoral allocation of labour in open economy models," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 50(3), pages 685-710, August.
    4. Dogan, Aydan & Hjortsoe, Ida, 2020. "Understanding US export dynamics: does modelling the extensive margin of exports help?," Bank of England working papers 859, Bank of England.
    5. Ozdemir, Dicle, 2019. "Sectoral Business Cycle Asymmetries and Regime Shifts: Evidence from Turkey," Asian Journal of Applied Economics, Kasetsart University, Center for Applied Economics Research, vol. 26(2), December.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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