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Modellierung von Hofübernahmeund Hofaufgabeentscheidungen in agentenbasierten Modellen

Author

Listed:
  • Anke Möhring

    (Agroscope, Tänikon, Switzerland)

  • Gabriele Mack

    (Agroscope, Tänikon, Switzerland)

  • Albert Zimmermann

    (Agroscope, Tänikon, Switzerland)

  • Maria Pia Gennaio

    (Agroscope, Tänikon, Switzerland)

  • Stefan Mann

    (Agroscope, Tänikon, Switzerland)

  • Ali Ferjani

    (Agroscope, Tänikon, Switzerland)

Abstract

Das Agentenbasierte Agrarsektormodell SWISSland erhebt den Anspruch, Strukturwandelprozesse in der Schweizer Landwirtschaft möglichst realitätsnah zu beschreiben. Dieser Beitrag zeigt, dass Hofübernahme- und -aufgabeentscheidungen und dessen Auswirkungen auf den strukturellen Wandel in der Schweizer Landwirtschaft im Trend der letzten 10 Jahre prognostiziert werden können, wenn hierzu statistisch gesicherte Informationen zur Wahrscheinlichkeit für das Vorhandensein einer Hofnachfolge und der Bereitschaft zur Hofübernahme in Kombination mit ökonomisch begründeten Stabilitätskriterien genutzt werden. Mit Hilfe dreier Szenarien wird gezeigt, dass die Abbildung der Strukturentwicklungsprozesse im Wesentlichen von der Interpretation und Integration der relevanten Bestimmungsfaktoren in agentenbasierte Modellen abhängt.

Suggested Citation

  • Anke Möhring & Gabriele Mack & Albert Zimmermann & Maria Pia Gennaio & Stefan Mann & Ali Ferjani, 2011. "Modellierung von Hofübernahmeund Hofaufgabeentscheidungen in agentenbasierten Modellen," Journal of Socio-Economics in Agriculture (Until 2015: Yearbook of Socioeconomics in Agriculture), Swiss Society for Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, vol. 4(1), pages 163-188.
    • Handle: RePEc:cha:ysa001:v:4:y:2011:i:1:p:163-188
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hoop, Daniel & Mack, Gabriele & Mann, Stefan & Schmid, Dierk, 2014. "On the dynamics of agricultural labour input and their impact on productivity and income: an empirical study of Swiss family farms," International Journal of Agricultural Management, Institute of Agricultural Management, vol. 3(4), pages 1-11.
    2. Hoop, D. & Mack, G. & Mann, S. & Schmid, D., 2014. "Zur Dynamik unterschiedlicher Institutionalisierungsformen landwirtschaftlicher Arbeit – Eine empirische Untersuchung Schweizer Familienbetriebe," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 49, March.
    3. Ali Ferjani & Albert Zimmermann, 2013. "Modelling structural-change-related shifts in labour input in the agent-based sector model SWISSland," Journal of Socio-Economics in Agriculture (Until 2015: Yearbook of Socioeconomics in Agriculture), Swiss Society for Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, vol. 6(1), pages 177-200.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agent-based Sector Model; Farm Entry; Farm Exit; Structural Change;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets
    • Q15 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Land Ownership and Tenure; Land Reform; Land Use; Irrigation; Agriculture and Environment
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • C69 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Other

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