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Ökonomische Aspekte des Russlandkonfliktes: Ursachen, Kosten, Optionen

Author

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  • Gabriel Felbermayr
  • Erdal Yalcin
  • Philipp Grübener

Abstract

Mit dem Abschuss einer Passagiermaschine mit 298 Insassen über der Ostukraine am 17. Juli 2014 mutmaßlich durch pro-russische Separatisten haben die Beziehungen zwischen Russland und dem Westen einen neuen Tiefpunkt erreicht. Bereits am 17. März 2014, einen Tag nach dem erfolgreichen Referendum über die Abspaltung der Krim von der Ukraine, hatte die Europäische Union Sanktionen gegen Russland in Form von Ein- und Durchreiseverboten sowie der Einfrierung von Vermögen verhängt. Sie folgte damit dem Vorbild der Vereinigten Staaten, die solche Maßnahmen schon zuvor ausgesprochen hatten. Unmittelbar vor der neuen Eskalation hatten sowohl die EU als auch die USA ihre Sanktionen bereits verschärft, um die russische Unterstützung für die Separatisten zu unterbinden. Aktuell ist eine weitere Verschärfung wahrscheinlich (Stand: 22. Juli 2014). Dieser Beitrag beleuchtet, welche Auswirkungen durch Sanktionen zu erwarten sind und ob ein Einlenken Russlands wahrscheinlich ist. Dazu werden die wirtschaftlichen Verflechtungen des Westens mit Russland sowie historische Erfahrungen mit Sanktionen dargestellt.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriel Felbermayr & Erdal Yalcin & Philipp Grübener, 2014. "Ökonomische Aspekte des Russlandkonfliktes: Ursachen, Kosten, Optionen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(14), pages 35-43, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:67:y:2014:i:14:p:35-43
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russland; Außenwirtschaftspolitik; Politischer Konflikt; Sanktion;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F50 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - General
    • F51 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations

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