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Eine umfragebasierte Methode zur Quantifizierung qualitativer Inflationserwartungen des Ifo World Economic Survey

Author

Listed:
  • Steffen Henzel
  • Timo Wollmershäuser

Abstract

Der Ifo World Economic Survey (WES) befragt vierteljährlich weltweit ca. 1 100 Experten aus nationalen und internationalen Organisationen in über 90 Ländern bezüglich ihrer Einschätzung wichtiger makroökonomischer Variablen in ihrem jeweiligen Land. Seit Juli 1991 wird auch nach der erwarteten Inflationsrate gefragt, wobei den Teilnehmern drei mögliche Antworten zur Auswahl stehen: »steigen«, »unverändert« oder »fallen«. Bislang wurden die Antworten als Saldo zusammengefasst und veröffentlicht. In diesem Beitrag wird eine neue Methode vorgestellt, diese qualitativen Inflationserwartungen zu quantifizieren.

Suggested Citation

  • Steffen Henzel & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2005. "Eine umfragebasierte Methode zur Quantifizierung qualitativer Inflationserwartungen des Ifo World Economic Survey," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(09), pages 13-20, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:58:y:2005:i:09:p:13-20
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Georg Goldrian, 2004. "Handbuch der umfragebasierten Konjunkturforschung," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 15.
    2. Anna Stangl, 2007. "World Economic Survey," Chapters, in: Georg Goldrian (ed.), Handbook of Survey-Based Business Cycle Analysis, chapter 5, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. repec:bla:econom:v:42:y:1975:i:166:p:123-38 is not listed on IDEAS
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflationsrate; Inflationserwartung; Konjunkturumfrage; Internationale Organisation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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