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Gibt es einen »New-Economy-Effekt« auf das amerikanische Produktionspotential?

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  • Gebhard Flaig

Abstract

Die hohen Wachstumsraten des amerikanischen BIP während der letzten Jahre haben die Frage aufgeworfen, ob sie »nur« einem starken konjunkturellen Boom zu verdanken sind oder ob nicht auch die langfristige Wachstumsrate des Produktionspotentials angestiegen ist. Zahlreiche Kommentatoren vertreten die These, dass »New Economy-Effekte« einen dauerhaften Wachstumsschub induziert haben. Eine mit Hilfe von ökonometrischen Zeitreihenmodellen durchgeführte Analyse der Wachstumsraten der amerikanischen Wirtschaft während der letzten fünf Jahrzehnte lässt aber vermuten, dass Amerika in den neunziger Jahren einen konjunkturellen Boom erlebt hat, der jetzt zu Ende geht.

Suggested Citation

  • Gebhard Flaig, 2001. "Gibt es einen »New-Economy-Effekt« auf das amerikanische Produktionspotential?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(05), pages 16-21, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:54:y:2001:i:05:p:16-21
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ignazio Visco, 2001. "Challenges and Risks for the World Economy," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 2(01), pages 3-13, October.
    2. Gebhard Flaig, 2000. "Arbeitstageeffekt und Bruttoinlandsprodukt : eine empirische Analyse mit einem strukturellen Komponentenmodel," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 53(22-23), pages 12-17, August.
    3. Canova, Fabio, 1998. "Detrending and business cycle facts," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 475-512, May.
    4. Bernhard Felderer, 2001. "Warum unterscheiden sich die langfristigen Wachstums- und Produktivitätstrends Europas und der USA?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(01), pages 15-23, March.
    5. Robert J. Gordon, 2000. "Does the "New Economy" Measure Up to the Great Inventions of the Past?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 14(4), pages 49-74, Fall.
    6. Gebhard Flaig, 2000. "Arbeitstageeffekt und Bruttoinlandsprodukt : eine empirische Analyse mit einem strukturellen Komponentenmodel," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 53(22), pages 12-17, August.
    7. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2001. "Wirtschaftswachstum in den Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen: Ein Vergleich Deutschland - USA," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(03), pages 41-51, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Harm Bandholz & Gebhard Flaig & Johannes Mayr, 2005. "Wachstum und Konjunktur in OECD-Ländern: Eine langfristige Perspektive," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(04), pages 28-36, February.
    2. Klaus Abberger & Gebhard Flaig & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2007. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse : ausgewählte methodische Aufsätze aus dem ifo Schnelldienst," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 33, July.
    3. Hans-Günther Vieweg & Carsten Dreher & Herbert Hofmann & Steffen Kinkel & Gunter Lay & Ulrich Schmoch, 2002. "Mechanical engineering in the age of globalisation and the New Economy," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 9.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Vereinigte Staaten; Produktivität; Wirtschaftswachstum;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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