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Comprendre la dynamique salariale par temps de crise

Author

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  • Christophe Blot
  • Hervé Péléraux
  • Raul Sampognaro
  • Sébastien Villemot

Abstract

Depuis le déclenchement de la crise financière en 2007, le marché du travail s'est fortement ajusté dans les principales économies avancées. En particulier, la zone euro compte encore 6 millions de chômeurs supplémentaires par rapport au début de la crise. Mais le nombre de chômeurs au sens strict ne reflète pas toujours les nombreuses facettes d'une réalité multiforme. L'objectif de cette étude est de juger si les évolutions salariales observées depuis la crise ont été conformes à leurs déterminants historiques – dont notamment le taux de chômage – ou si au contraire la mécanique traditionnelle a été altérée par des changements structurels du mode de formation des salaires. Notre analyse montre que la courbe de Phillips est un bon modèle de la dynamique salariale sur longue période mais il reste à savoir si cette relation parvient bien à rendre compte de l'évolution des salaires observée depuis le début de la crise.
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Suggested Citation

  • Christophe Blot & Hervé Péléraux & Raul Sampognaro & Sébastien Villemot, 2015. "Comprendre la dynamique salariale par temps de crise," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(8), pages 219-255.
  • Handle: RePEc:cai:reofsp:reof_144_0219
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    1. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2i4f6o6mbh8qvo20j61e6hip5s is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Bruno Ducoudre & Nicolas Yol, 2018. "Evaluation de l'impact du CICE par une méthode," Working Papers hal-03471572, HAL.
    3. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2i4f6o6mbh8qvo20j61e6hip5s is not listed on IDEAS

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