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Erosion Potential Method (Gavrilović method) sensitivity analysis

Author

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  • Nevena DRAGIČEVIĆ
  • Barbara KARLEUŠA

    (Department of Hydrotechnics and Geotechnics, Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Rijeka, Rijeka, Croatia)

  • Nevenka OŽANIĆ

    (Department of Hydrotechnics and Geotechnics, Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Rijeka, Rijeka, Croatia)

Abstract

In recent decades, various methods for erosion intensity and sediment production assessment have been developed. The necessity for better model performance has led to the more frequent application of the method sensitivity and uncertainty assessments in order to decrease errors that arise from the model concept and its main assumptions. The analysis presented in this paper refers to the application of the Gavrilović method (Erosion Potential Method), an empirical and semi-quantitative method that can estimate the amount of sediment production and sediment transport as well as the erosion intensity and indicate the areas potentially threatened by erosion. The emphasis in this paper is given upon the method sensitivity analysis that has not previously been conducted for the Gavrilović method. The sensitivity analysis was conducted for fourteen different parameters included in the method, all in relation to different model outputs. Each parameter was perceived and discussed individually in relation to its effect upon the method outputs, and ranked into categories depending on their influence on one or more model outputs. The objective of the analysis was to explore the constraints of the Gavrilović method and the method response to changes deriving from the each individual parameter in an attempt to provide a better understanding of the method, the weight and the contribution of each parameter in the overall method. The parameters that could potentially be used in future research, for method modification and calibration in areas with different catchment characteristics (e.g. climate, geological, etc.) were identified. The most sensitive model parameters resulting from conducted sensitivity analysis for the Gavrilović method are also those considered to be significant in the scientific literature on erosion. The Gavrilović method sensitivity analysis has been done on a case study for the Dubracina catchment area, Croatia.

Suggested Citation

  • Nevena DRAGIČEVIĆ & Barbara KARLEUŠA & Nevenka OŽANIĆ, 2017. "Erosion Potential Method (Gavrilović method) sensitivity analysis," Soil and Water Research, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 12(1), pages 51-59.
    • Handle: RePEc:caa:jnlswr:v:12:y:2017:i:1:id:27-2016-swr
    DOI: 10.17221/27/2016-SWR
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. H. Christopher Frey & Sumeet R. Patil, 2002. "Identification and Review of Sensitivity Analysis Methods," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 22(3), pages 553-578, June.
    2. Giuseppe Mendicino, 1999. "Sensitivity Analysis on GIS Procedures for the Estimate of Soil Erosion Risk," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 20(2), pages 231-253, November.
    3. Cariboni, J. & Gatelli, D. & Liska, R. & Saltelli, A., 2007. "The role of sensitivity analysis in ecological modelling," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 203(1), pages 167-182.
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