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Dependence structure between oil and other commodity futures in China based on extreme value theory and copulas

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  • Saiful Izzuan Hussain
  • Steven Li

Abstract

This paper examines the dependence structure between oil futures with other major commodities including gold, copper, zinc, aluminium, rubber, corn, cotton and sugar in China. To this end, we apply the extreme value theory (EVT) and dynamic copula approach, which allows for measuring both average and tail dependence. Contrary to the findings in the literature on stock markets, this paper reveals significant right tail dependence rather than left tail dependence between oil futures and most of the other eight commodities. These findings provide a new insight regarding the behaviour of oil and other major commodities. This paper thus has some significant implications for investors, risk managers and policymakers.

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  • Saiful Izzuan Hussain & Steven Li, 2022. "Dependence structure between oil and other commodity futures in China based on extreme value theory and copulas," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(1), pages 317-335, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:45:y:2022:i:1:p:317-335
    DOI: 10.1111/twec.13123
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Ko, Hee-Un & Ahmad, Nasir & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Quantile connectedness between Chinese stock and commodity futures markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

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