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Endogenous cyclical corporate tax burden in China: The role of tax quotas and growth targets

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  • Hongsheng Fang
  • Minyuan He
  • Dandan Dang
  • Jun Zhang

Abstract

Using data from China Annual Survey of Industrial Firms and addressing potential endogeneity problem, we find that corporate tax burden in China is procyclical during recessions and countercyclical during booms. The cyclicality is stronger for enterprises whose corporate income taxes are levied by Local Tax Bureau (LTB). Procyclicality of corporate tax burden during recessions is larger for enterprises located in county, non‐state‐owned enterprises (non‐SOEs), non‐high‐tech enterprises and large‐medium enterprises. Furthermore, tax quotas and growth targets of local governments enhance procyclicality during recessions and the countercyclicality of corporate tax burden during booms. Tax collection and government spending are important channels through which tax quotas and growth targets affect the cyclicality of corporate tax burden, respectively. This paper provides important policy implications for China during economic recessions.

Suggested Citation

  • Hongsheng Fang & Minyuan He & Dandan Dang & Jun Zhang, 2020. "Endogenous cyclical corporate tax burden in China: The role of tax quotas and growth targets," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(12), pages 3314-3339, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:43:y:2020:i:12:p:3314-3339
    DOI: 10.1111/twec.12958
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