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The nationalization of school superintendent elections

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  • Aaron C. Weinschenk

Abstract

Objective Scholars have demonstrated that the U.S. presidential vote is increasingly correlated with voting patterns in House, Senate, gubernatorial, state legislative, and state judicial elections, a phenomenon called nationalization. In this article, I examine the relationship between vote share in presidential and school superintendent elections. Methods I conduct correlation and regression analyses using an original data set containing county‐level election results from 2000 to 2021 for all states that hold statewide school superintendent elections. Results I find that there is a statistically significant relationship between presidential and superintendent voting in both partisan and nonpartisan elections even after accounting for incumbency, although the relationship is appreciably stronger in states that hold partisan school superintendent elections. In addition, there has been an uptick in the strength of the relationship between presidential and state superintendent vote patterns over time in both partisan and nonpartisan states, although the increase is more pronounced in nonpartisan states. Conclusions The results indicate that even some of the most low‐salience, down‐ballot elections have nationalized.

Suggested Citation

  • Aaron C. Weinschenk, 2022. "The nationalization of school superintendent elections," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 103(3), pages 597-606, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:socsci:v:103:y:2022:i:3:p:597-606
    DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13143
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. J. Mitchell Pickerill & Cynthia J. Bowling, 2014. "Polarized Parties, Politics, and Policies: Fragmented Federalism in 2013–2014," Publius: The Journal of Federalism, CSF Associates Inc., vol. 44(3), pages 369-398.
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