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Trade‐Induced Job Loss and Support for Free Trade

Author

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  • Hannah Lukinovich
  • Dmitriy Nurullayev
  • James C. Garand

Abstract

Objective In this paper we consider the possible effects of contextual economic conditions (i.e., job losses attributed to trade, general unemployment) and subjective economic evaluations on how Americans think about international trade. Methods We use data from the 2016 Voter Study Group survey and from the 2016 American National Election Study, and we supplement these survey data with data on state contextual variables from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and from the Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) program of the U.S. Department of Labor. Results We find that state job losses linked to trade have discernible effects on Americans' attitudes toward trade, as do subjective economic evaluations tied to confidence and anxiety about the economy. Conclusion Simply, (trade‐related) economic context has a strong effect on how Americans think about expanded and free trade.

Suggested Citation

  • Hannah Lukinovich & Dmitriy Nurullayev & James C. Garand, 2020. "Trade‐Induced Job Loss and Support for Free Trade," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 101(5), pages 2017-2031, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:socsci:v:101:y:2020:i:5:p:2017-2031
    DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.12852
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hainmueller, Jens & Hiscox, Michael J., 2006. "Learning to Love Globalization: Education and Individual Attitudes Toward International Trade," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 60(2), pages 469-498, April.
    2. Fordham, Benjamin O. & Kleinberg, Katja B., 2012. "How Can Economic Interests Influence Support for Free Trade?," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 66(2), pages 311-328, April.
    3. Chipman, John S, 1969. "Factor Price Equalization and the Stolper-Samuelson Theorem," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 10(3), pages 399-406, October.
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