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Goodness of Fit via Non‐parametric Likelihood Ratios

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  • Gerda Claeskens
  • Nils Lid Hjort

Abstract

. To test if a density f is equal to a specified f0, one knows by the Neyman–Pearson lemma the form of the optimal test at a specified alternative f1. Any non‐parametric density estimation scheme allows an estimate of f. This leads to estimated likelihood ratios. Properties are studied of tests which for the density estimation ingredient use log‐linear expansions. Such expansions are either coupled with subset selectors like the Akaike information criterion and the Bayesian information criterion regimes, or use order growing with sample size. Our tests are generalized to testing the adequacy of general parametric models, and to work also in higher dimensions. The tests are related to, but are different from, the ‘smooth tests’ that go back to Neyman [Skandinavisk Aktuarietidsskrift 20(1937) 149] and that have been studied extensively in recent literature. Our tests are large‐sample equivalent to such smooth tests under local alternative conditions, but different from the smooth tests and often better under non‐local conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Gerda Claeskens & Nils Lid Hjort, 2004. "Goodness of Fit via Non‐parametric Likelihood Ratios," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 31(4), pages 487-513, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:scjsta:v:31:y:2004:i:4:p:487-513
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9469.2004.00403.x
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    Cited by:

    1. J. Beirlant & G. Claeskens & C. Croux & H. Degryse & H. Dewachter & G. Dhaene & J. Dhaene & I. Gijbels & M. Goovaerts & M. Hubert & F. Roodhooft & W. Schouten & M. Willekens, 2005. "Managing Uncertainty: Financial, Actuarial and Statistical Modeling," Review of Business and Economic Literature, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Review of Business and Economic Literature, vol. 0(1), pages 23-48.
    2. Gerda Claeskens & Jeffrey Hart, 2009. "Goodness-of-fit tests in mixed models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 18(2), pages 213-239, August.
    3. Patrick Marsh, 2010. "A two-sample nonparametric likelihood ratio test," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(8), pages 1053-1065.
    4. Ali Charkhi & Gerda Claeskens, 2018. "Asymptotic post-selection inference for the Akaike information criterion," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 105(3), pages 645-664.
    5. Patrick Marsh, 2019. "Nonparametric conditional density specification testing and quantile estimation; with application to S&P500 returns," Discussion Papers 19/02, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
    6. Marsh, Patrick, 2007. "Goodness of fit tests via exponential series density estimation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(5), pages 2428-2441, February.
    7. Fang, Ying & Li, Qi & Wu, Ximing & Zhang, Daiqiang, 2015. "A data-driven smooth test of symmetry," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(2), pages 490-501.
    8. Best, D.J. & Rayner, J.C.W. & Thas, O., 2008. "Comparison of some tests of fit for the Laplace distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(12), pages 5338-5343, August.
    9. Consentino, Fabrizio & Claeskens, Gerda, 2010. "Order selection tests with multiply imputed data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(10), pages 2284-2295, October.
    10. Emiliano, Paulo C. & Vivanco, Mário J.F. & de Menezes, Fortunato S., 2014. "Information criteria: How do they behave in different models?," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 141-153.
    11. Olivier Thas, 2009. "Comments on: Goodness-of-fit tests in mixed modes," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 18(2), pages 260-264, August.
    12. Patrick Marsh, 2006. "Data Driven Likelihood Ratio Tests for Goodness-of-Fit with Estimated Parameters," Discussion Papers 06/20, Department of Economics, University of York.
    13. Nicolai Bissantz & Gerda Claeskens & Hajo Holzmann & Axel Munk, 2009. "Testing for lack of fit in inverse regression—with applications to biophotonic imaging," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(1), pages 25-48, January.
    14. Patrick Marsh, 2019. "Nonparametric series density estimation and testing," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 28(1), pages 77-99, March.
    15. Hart, Jeffrey D. & Choi, Taeryon & Yi, Seongbaek, 2016. "Frequentist nonparametric goodness-of-fit tests via marginal likelihood ratios," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 120-132.

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