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Hours risk and wage risk: repercussions over the life cycle

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  • Robin Jessen
  • Johannes König

Abstract

We decompose earnings risk into contributions from hours and wage shocks. To distinguish between hours shocks, modeled as innovations to the marginal disutility of work, and labor supply reactions to wage shocks, we formulate a life‐cycle model of consumption and labor supply. For estimation, we use data on married American men from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics. Permanent wage shocks explain 31 percent of total risk, permanent hours shocks 21 percent. Progressive taxation attenuates cross‐sectional earnings risk, but its life‐cycle insurance impact is much smaller. At the mean, a one‐standard‐deviation hours shock raises lifetime income by 11 percent, a wage shock by 13 percent.

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  • Robin Jessen & Johannes König, 2023. "Hours risk and wage risk: repercussions over the life cycle," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(4), pages 956-996, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:scandj:v:125:y:2023:i:4:p:956-996
    DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12532
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials

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