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Auswirkungen der Finanzkrise auf die private Altersvorsorge

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  • Axel Börsch‐Supan
  • Martin Gasche
  • Michael Ziegelmeyer

Abstract

This study aims at estimating the losses in old‐age wealth and forfeited returns. The analysis is based on the German SAVE study in 2008. In comparison to a scenario without the crisis individuals on average lost 4.3% of their financial wealth. Considering only wealth in investment classes specific for old‐age provision the average loss is 2%. Comparing wealth losses at retirement entry reveals that the rates of return of cohorts born between 1940 and 1990 decreased by around 0.1 percentage points (old‐age provision wealth) or 0.2 percentage points (financial wealth), respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Axel Börsch‐Supan & Martin Gasche & Michael Ziegelmeyer, 2010. "Auswirkungen der Finanzkrise auf die private Altersvorsorge," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 11(4), pages 383-406, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:perwir:v:11:y:2010:i:4:p:383-406
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2516.2010.00345.x
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    1. Krueger, Dirk & Ludwig, Alexander, 2007. "On the consequences of demographic change for rates of returns to capital, and the distribution of wealth and welfare," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 49-87, January.
    2. Daniel Schunk, 2008. "A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for multiple imputation in large surveys," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 92(1), pages 101-114, February.
    3. Axel Börsch‐Supan & Martin Gasche & Michael Ziegelmeyer, 2010. "Auswirkungen der Finanzkrise auf die private Altersvorsorge," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 11(4), pages 383-406, November.
    4. Ziegelmeyer, Michael, 2009. "Documentation of the logical imputation using the panel structure of the 2003-2008 German SAVE Survey," Papers 08-41, Sonderforschungsbreich 504.
    5. Imrohoroglu, Ayse, 2007. "Consequences of demographic change for rates of returns to capital, and the distribution of wealth and welfare: A comment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 88-91, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Necker, Sarah & Ziegelmeyer, Michael, 2016. "Household risk taking after the financial crisis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 141-160.
    2. Axel Börsch‐Supan & Martin Gasche & Michael Ziegelmeyer, 2010. "Auswirkungen der Finanzkrise auf die private Altersvorsorge," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 11(4), pages 383-406, November.
    3. Gerhard Rösl & Karl-Heinz Tödter, 2015. "Wie teuer ist die Niedrigzinspolitik der EZB für Deutschland?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(07), pages 43-50, April.
    4. repec:ces:ifodic:v:13:y:2015:i:2:p:19166284 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Martin Werding, 2016. "One Pillar Crumbling, the Others Too Short: Old-Age Provision in Germany," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 237(1), pages 13-21, August.
    6. Bucher-Koenen, Tabea & Kluth, Sebastian, 2013. "Subjective Life Expectancy and Private Pensions," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79806, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    7. Bucher-Koenen, Tabea & Kluth, Sebastian, 2013. "Subjective Life Expectancy and Private Pensions," MEA discussion paper series 201214, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    8. Börsch-Supan, Axel & Bucher-Koenen, Tabea & Goll, Nicolas & Maier, Christina, 2016. "15 Jahre Riester - eine Bilanz," Working Papers 12/2016, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
    9. Bucher-Koenen, Tabea & Ziegelmeyer, Michael, 2011. "Who lost the most? Financial Literacy, Cognitive Abilities, and the Financial Crisis," MEA discussion paper series 11234, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    10. Martin Werding, 2015. "Old-age Provision in Germany: The Crisis Impedes a Shift Towards Higher Pre-funding," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 13(2), pages 08-13, 08.
    11. Martin Werding, 2015. "Old-age Provision in Germany: The Crisis Impedes a Shift Towards Higher Pre-funding," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 13(02), pages 08-13, August.
    12. repec:mea:meawpa:12265 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Bucher-Koenen, Tabea, 2011. "Financial Literacy, Riester Pensions, and Other Private Old Age Provision in Germany," MEA discussion paper series 11250, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    14. repec:mea:meawpa:14279 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Gerhard Rösl & Karl-Heinz Tödter, 2015. "Zins- und Wohlfahrtseffekte extremer Niedrigzinspolitik für die Sparer in Deutschland," ROME Working Papers 201501, ROME Network.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies

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