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Non‐parametric Estimator for Conditional Mode with Parametric Features

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  • Tao Wang

Abstract

We in this paper propose a new approach for estimating conditional mode non‐parametrically to capture the ‘most likely’ effect built on local linear approximation, in which a parametric pilot modal regression is locally adjusted through a kernel smoothing fit to potentially reduce the bias asymptotically without affecting the variance of the estimator. Specifically, we first estimate a parametric modal regression utilizing prior information from initial studies or economic analysis, and then estimate the non‐parametric modal function based on the additive correction by eliminating the parametric feature. We derive the asymptotic normal distribution of the proposed modal estimator for both fixed and estimated parametric feature cases, and demonstrate that there is substantial room for bias reduction under certain regularity conditions. We numerically estimate the suggested modal regression model with the use of a modified modal‐expectation‐maximization (MEM) algorithm. Monte Carlo simulations and one empirical analysis are presented to illustrate the finite sample performance of the developed modal estimator. Several extensions, including multiplicative correction, generalized guidance, modal‐based robust regression and the incorporation of categorical covariates, are also discussed for the sake of completeness.

Suggested Citation

  • Tao Wang, 2024. "Non‐parametric Estimator for Conditional Mode with Parametric Features," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 86(1), pages 44-73, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:86:y:2024:i:1:p:44-73
    DOI: 10.1111/obes.12577
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Aman Ullah & Tao Wang & Weixin Yao, 2022. "Nonlinear modal regression for dependent data with application for predicting COVID‐19," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(3), pages 1424-1453, July.
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