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Statistical analysis of performance indicators in UK higher education

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  • David Draper
  • Mark Gittoes

Abstract

Summary. Attempts to measure the quality with which institutions such as hospitals and universities carry out their public mandates have gained in frequency and sophistication over the last decade. We examine methods for creating performance indicators in multilevel or hierarchical settings (e.g. students nested within universities) based on a dichotomous outcome variable (e.g. drop‐out from the higher education system). The profiling methods that we study involve the indirect measurement of quality, by comparing institutional outputs after adjusting for inputs, rather than directly attempting to measure the quality of the processes unfolding inside the institutions. In the context of an extended case‐study of the creation of performance indicators for universities in the UK higher education system, we demonstrate the large sample functional equivalence between a method based on indirect standardization and an approach based on fixed effects hierarchical modelling, offer simulation results on the performance of the standardization method in null and non‐null settings, examine the sensitivity of this method to the inadvertent omission of relevant adjustment variables, explore random‐effects reformulations and characterize settings in which they are preferable to fixed effects hierarchical modelling in this type of quality assessment and discuss extensions to longitudinal quality modelling and the overall pros and cons of institutional profiling. Our results are couched in the language of higher education but apply with equal force to other settings with dichotomous response variables, such as the examination of observed and expected rates of mortality (or other adverse outcomes) in investigations of the quality of health care or the study of retention rates in the workplace.

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  • David Draper & Mark Gittoes, 2004. "Statistical analysis of performance indicators in UK higher education," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 167(3), pages 449-474, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:167:y:2004:i:3:p:449-474
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-985X.2004.apm12.x
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    1. Nicholas J. Horton & Garrett M. Fitzmaurice, 2002. "Maximum likelihood estimation of bivariate logistic models for incomplete responses with indicators of ignorable and non‐ignorable missingness," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 51(3), pages 281-295, July.
    2. C S Sarrico & R G Dyson, 2000. "Using DEA for planning in UK universities—an institutional perspective," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 51(7), pages 789-800, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Paul Hewson & Keming Yu, 2008. "Quantile regression for binary performance indicators," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(5), pages 401-418, September.
    2. Adele H. Marshall & Mariangela Zenga & Aglaia Kalamatianou, 2020. "Academic Students’ Progress Indicators and Gender Gaps Based on Survival Analysis and Data Mining Frameworks," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 1097-1128, October.
    3. Isabella Sulis & Mariano Porcu, 2015. "Assessing Divergences in Mathematics and Reading Achievement in Italian Primary Schools: A Proposal of Adjusted Indicators of School Effectiveness," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 122(2), pages 607-634, June.
    4. Kato, Maki, 2023. "Careers of faculty with foreign degrees: The attributes and impact on academic ranks in Japan," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    5. Isabella Sulis & Mariano Porcu & Vincenza Capursi, 2019. "On the Use of Student Evaluation of Teaching: A Longitudinal Analysis Combining Measurement Issues and Implications of the Exercise," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 142(3), pages 1305-1331, April.
    6. F. Cugnata & G. Perucca & S. Salini, 2017. "Bayesian networks and the assessment of universities' value added," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(10), pages 1785-1806, July.
    7. Columbu, Silvia & Porcu, Mariano & Sulis, Isabella, 2021. "University choice and the attractiveness of the study area: Insights on the differences amongst degree programmes in Italy based on generalised mixed-effect models," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    8. Francesca Giambona & Mariano Porcu & Isabella Sulis, 2023. "Does education protect families' well-being in times of crisis? Measurement issues and empirical findings from IT-SILC data," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 32(1), pages 299-328, March.
    9. Silvia Bianconcini & Silvia Cagnone, 2012. "A General Multivariate Latent Growth Model With Applications to Student Achievement," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 37(2), pages 339-364, April.
    10. Isabella Sulis & Mariano Porcu, 2012. "Comparing degree programs from students’ assessments: A LCRA-based adjusted composite indicator," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 21(2), pages 193-209, June.
    11. Tobias Wolbring, 2012. "Class Attendance and Students’ Evaluations of Teaching," Evaluation Review, , vol. 36(1), pages 72-96, February.
    12. Sulis, Isabella & Giambona, Francesca & Porcu, Mariano, 2020. "Adjusted indicators of quality and equity for monitoring the education systems over time. Insights on EU15 countries from PISA surveys," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    13. Maria Cristiana Martini & Luigi Fabbris, 2017. "Beyond Employment Rate: A Multidimensional Indicator of Higher Education Effectiveness," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 130(1), pages 351-370, January.
    14. Sarrico, Cláudia S. & Teixeira, Pedro N. & Rosa, Maria J. & Cardoso, Margarida F., 2009. "Subject mix and productivity in Portuguese universities," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 287-295, August.
    15. David I. Ohlssen & Linda D. Sharples & David J. Spiegelhalter, 2007. "A hierarchical modelling framework for identifying unusual performance in health care providers," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 170(4), pages 865-890, October.
    16. Nicholas Longford & D. B. Rubin, 2006. "Performance assessment and league tables. Comparing like with like," Economics Working Papers 994, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.

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