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Subjective-Probability Elicitation Techniques - Performance Comparison

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  • CHESLEY, GR

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • Chesley, Gr, 1978. "Subjective-Probability Elicitation Techniques - Performance Comparison," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(2), pages 225-241.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:joares:v:16:y:1978:i:2:p:225-241
    DOI: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/2490564
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. G.R. Chesley, 1986. "Interprétations des expressions d'incertitude," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(2), pages 200-221, March.
    2. Agarwal, Sandip Kumar, 2017. "Subjective beliefs and decision making under uncertainty in the field," ISU General Staff Papers 201701010800006248, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    3. Agarwal, Sandip & Jacobs, Keri L. & Weninger, Quinn, 2016. "Elicitation of Subjective Beliefs: A Pilot study of farmers' nitrogen management decision-making in Central Iowa," ISU General Staff Papers 201601010800001005, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    4. Langrock, Ines & Hurley, Terrance M., 2006. "Risk Preferences, Perceptions and Systematic Biases," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21343, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. William F. Wright, 1988. "Empirical comparison of subjective probability elicitation methods," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(1), pages 47-57, September.
    6. G.R. Chesley, 1986. "Interpretation of uncertainty expressions," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(2), pages 179-199, March.
    7. Mohammad J. Abdolmohammadi, 1985. "Bayesian inference research in auditing: Some methodological suggestions," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(1), pages 76-94, September.
    8. William F. Wright, 1988. "Comparaison empirique des méthodes d'inférence de probabilités subjectives," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(1), pages 58-69, September.
    9. Aurélien Baillon, 2008. "Eliciting Subjective Probabilities Through Exchangeable Events: An Advantage and a Limitation," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 5(2), pages 76-87, June.
    10. Norris, Patricia E. & Kramer, Randall A., 1990. "The Elicitation of Subjective Probabilities with Applications in Agricultural Economics," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 58(02-03), pages 1-21, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Subjective probability; Elicitation technique; Line-Chart method; Magnitude method;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior

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