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Star-Analysts' Forecast Accuracy And The Role Of Corporate Governance

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  • Alexander Kerl
  • Martin Ohlert

Abstract

type="main" xml:lang="en"> In this article we examine whether star-analysts have better forecasting abilities than non-star-analysts. Our results reveal that star-analysts' earnings forecasts outperform their peers' forecasts. Because the level of corporate governance plays an important role for the general level of forecast accuracy, we furthermore investigate whether star-analysts benefit from higher levels of governance. Our findings suggest that forecast accuracy of star-analysts increases with the level of both country- and company-specific corporate governance. Investors in capital markets do not seem to be aware of this fact because they do not react differently to forecasts issued by star-analysts compared to those of non-star-analysts.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Kerl & Martin Ohlert, 2015. "Star-Analysts' Forecast Accuracy And The Role Of Corporate Governance," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 38(1), pages 93-120, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfnres:v:38:y:2015:i:1:p:93-120
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhan, Baoqiang & Wu, Chong, 2024. "Star power: A quasi-natural experiment on how analyst status affects recommendation performance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    2. Ji, Xu & Wu, Shanhui & Dong, Yan & Yang, Xiaoqi, 2024. "Learning by doing or catering: Firm-specific experience and analyst forecast accuracy," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    3. Yury O. Kucheev & Felipe Ruiz & Tomas Sorensson, 2017. "Do Stars Shine? Comparing the Performance Persistence of Star Sell-Side Analysts Listed by Institutional Investor, the Wall Street Journal, and StarMine," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 52(3), pages 277-305, December.
    4. Wu, Yanran & Liu, Tingting & Han, Liyan & Yin, Libo, 2018. "Optimistic bias of analysts' earnings forecasts: Does investor sentiment matter in China?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 147-163.
    5. Samie Ahmed Sayed & Latha Sreeram, 2017. "Factors Mitigating Firm-specific Information Asymmetry and Target Price Accuracy in India," Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers, , vol. 42(4), pages 220-233, December.
    6. Horton, Joanne & Serafeim, George & Wu, Shan, 2017. "Career concerns of banking analysts," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 231-252.
    7. Samie Ahmed Sayed, 2016. "Are Stars Worth Following? Measuring the Target Price Predictive Ability of Star Analysts in an Emerging Market," IIM Kozhikode Society & Management Review, , vol. 5(2), pages 173-185, July.
    8. Zhang, Chao & Shrider, David G. & Han, Dun & Wu, Yanran, 2022. "Accurate forecasts attract clients; Biased forecasts keep them happy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    9. Hussain, Tanveer & Loureiro, Gilberto, 2022. "Portability of firm corporate governance in mergers and acquisitions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).

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