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Star-Analysts' Forecast Accuracy And The Role Of Corporate Governance

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  • Alexander Kerl
  • Martin Ohlert

Abstract

type="main" xml:lang="en"> In this article we examine whether star-analysts have better forecasting abilities than non-star-analysts. Our results reveal that star-analysts' earnings forecasts outperform their peers' forecasts. Because the level of corporate governance plays an important role for the general level of forecast accuracy, we furthermore investigate whether star-analysts benefit from higher levels of governance. Our findings suggest that forecast accuracy of star-analysts increases with the level of both country- and company-specific corporate governance. Investors in capital markets do not seem to be aware of this fact because they do not react differently to forecasts issued by star-analysts compared to those of non-star-analysts.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Kerl & Martin Ohlert, 2015. "Star-Analysts' Forecast Accuracy And The Role Of Corporate Governance," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 38(1), pages 93-120, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfnres:v:38:y:2015:i:1:p:93-120
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhan, Baoqiang & Wu, Chong, 2024. "Star power: A quasi-natural experiment on how analyst status affects recommendation performance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    2. Zhang, Chao & Shrider, David G. & Han, Dun & Wu, Yanran, 2022. "Accurate forecasts attract clients; Biased forecasts keep them happy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Samie Ahmed Sayed, 2016. "Are Stars Worth Following? Measuring the Target Price Predictive Ability of Star Analysts in an Emerging Market," IIM Kozhikode Society & Management Review, , vol. 5(2), pages 173-185, July.
    4. Wu, Yanran & Liu, Tingting & Han, Liyan & Yin, Libo, 2018. "Optimistic bias of analysts' earnings forecasts: Does investor sentiment matter in China?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 147-163.
    5. Yury O. Kucheev & Felipe Ruiz & Tomas Sorensson, 2017. "Do Stars Shine? Comparing the Performance Persistence of Star Sell-Side Analysts Listed by Institutional Investor, the Wall Street Journal, and StarMine," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 52(3), pages 277-305, December.
    6. Hussain, Tanveer & Loureiro, Gilberto, 2022. "Portability of firm corporate governance in mergers and acquisitions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    7. Samie Ahmed Sayed & Latha Sreeram, 2017. "Factors Mitigating Firm-specific Information Asymmetry and Target Price Accuracy in India," Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers, , vol. 42(4), pages 220-233, December.
    8. Horton, Joanne & Serafeim, George & Wu, Shan, 2017. "Career concerns of banking analysts," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 231-252.

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