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Strategic Trading When Agents Forecast the Forecasts of Others

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  • Foster, F Douglas
  • Viswanathan, S

Abstract

The authors analyze a multiperiod model of trading with differentially informed traders, liquidity traders, and a marketmaker. Each informed trader's initial information is a noisy estimate of the long-term value of the asset and the different signals received by informed traders can have a variety of correlation structures. With this setup, informed traders not only compete with each other for trading profits, they also learn about other traders' signals from the observed order flow. The authors' work suggests that the initial correlation among the informed traders' signals has a significant effect on the informed traders' profits and the informativeness of prices. Copyright 1996 by American Finance Association.

Suggested Citation

  • Foster, F Douglas & Viswanathan, S, 1996. "Strategic Trading When Agents Forecast the Forecasts of Others," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1437-1478, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:51:y:1996:i:4:p:1437-78
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cao, H. Henry, 1994. "Imperfect Competition in Noncompetitive Securities Markets with Diversely Informed Traders," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt7x064136, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
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