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Estimating Inflation Risk Premia Using Inflation‐Linked Bonds: A Review

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  • Alexander Kupfer

Abstract

This paper provides an overview of studies that estimate the inflation risk premium using inflation‐linked bond (ILB) yields. I categorize existing studies, outline their research designs and compare their estimates for the inflation risk premium. Furthermore, the importance of accounting for ILB illiquidity and an overview of existing ILB liquidity proxies are demonstrated. A discussion of current literature developments, such as the zero lower bound, and an outline for future research directions conclude the paper.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Kupfer, 2018. "Estimating Inflation Risk Premia Using Inflation‐Linked Bonds: A Review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(5), pages 1326-1354, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jecsur:v:32:y:2018:i:5:p:1326-1354
    DOI: 10.1111/joes.12265
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Westerhout, Ed, 2021. "Inflation-Linked Bonds, Nominal Bonds, and Countercyclical Monetary Policies," Discussion Paper 2021-001, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    2. Casiraghi, Marco & Miccoli, Marcello, 2019. "Inflation risk premia and risk-adjusted expectations of inflation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 36-39.
    3. Marcello Pericoli, 2019. "An assessment of recent trends in market-based expected iflation in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 542, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    4. Westerhout, Ed, 2021. "Inflation-Linked Bonds, Nominal Bonds, and Countercyclical Monetary Policies," Other publications TiSEM ee384b1f-4e6f-4f30-821e-d, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    5. Baumann, Ursel & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Westermann, Thomas & Riggi, Marianna & Bobeica, Elena & Meyler, Aidan & Böninghausen, Benjamin & Fritzer, Friedrich & Trezzi, Riccardo & Jonckheere, Jana & , 2021. "Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting," Occasional Paper Series 264, European Central Bank.
    6. Béatrice Séverac & José S. Fonseca, 2021. "Relative pricing of French Treasury inflation-linked and nominal bonds: an empirical approach using arbitrage strategies," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 20(3), pages 273-295, September.
    7. Alberto Di Iorio & Marco Fanari, 2020. "Break-even inflation rates: the Italian case," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 578, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    8. Yoshibumi Makabe & Yoshihiko Norimasa, 2022. "The Term Structure of Inflation at Risk: A Panel Quantile Regression Approach," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 22-E-4, Bank of Japan.
    9. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & de Hollanda Lima, Natalia Teixeira, 2022. "Discretionary fiscal policy, fiscal credibility and inflation risk premium," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 208-222.
    10. Huang, Xiaoyong & Jia, Fei & Xu, Xiangyun & Yu shi,, 2019. "The threshold effect of market sentiment and inflation expectations on gold price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 77-83.

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