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Individuals’ Trading Prior to Earnings Announcements

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  • Shih-Chuan Tsai

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between individuals’ net trading and stock price movements before and after annual earnings announcements for the Taiwan Stock Exchange. We conduct an event study on the effects of pre-event individual trade imbalances on pre- and post-announcement abnormal returns. With a unique and comprehensive dataset, we accurately classify executed orders by aggressiveness of order price. The evidence indicates that while individuals, as a group, are not informed about impending earnings announcements, individuals who place aggressive orders are informed as their net trading coincides with contemporaneous and future stock returns. Aggressive individuals lose their edge during the financial crisis. More importantly, the advantage (disadvantage) for individuals who adopt aggressive (passive) orders weakens when foreign institutions own concentrated equity in firms. We also find that net individual trading contains information about abnormal returns that either past returns or volume does not subsume. Controlling for past returns, trading volume and volatility, or using an alternative measure of net individual trading does not change our conclusions.

Suggested Citation

  • Shih-Chuan Tsai, 2014. "Individuals’ Trading Prior to Earnings Announcements," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(9-10), pages 1124-1156, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:41:y:2014:i:9-10:p:1124-1156
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    2. Chen-Chang Lo & Yaling Lin & Jiann-Lin Kuo & Yi Ting Wen, 2021. "The Relation Between Trading Volume Concentration and Stock Returns," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 7(3), pages 82-89, 09-2021.
    3. Marc J. M. Bohmann & Vinay Patel, 2022. "Informed options trading prior to FDA announcements," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(7-8), pages 1211-1236, July.
    4. Diego Agudelo & Diego Amaya & Juliana Hincapié & Julián Múnera, 2017. "Attention-based vs information-based trading around announcements. Evidence from an emerging market," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 16359, Universidad EAFIT.
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