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Public Predisclosure Information, Firm Size, Analyst Following, and Market Reactions to Earnings Announcements

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  • Theodore E. Christensen
  • Toni Q. Smith
  • Pamela S. Stuerke

Abstract

This study examines the effects of public predisclosure information on market reactions to earnings announcements. We develop an empirical measure of public predisclosure information impounded in price prior to earnings announcements by cumulating abnormal returns on public news release dates during the quarter. Consistent with prior literature, we document a negative association between this measure and market reactions to subsequent earnings announcements. Moreover, we find that after controlling for this measure, firm size and analyst following are significantly positively associated with market reactions to earnings announcements. Contrary to prior empirical evidence, our results suggest that, after controlling for actual predisclosure information impounded in price, market reactions to earnings announcements are greater in magnitude for larger, more widely‐followed firms than for smaller, less widely‐followed firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Theodore E. Christensen & Toni Q. Smith & Pamela S. Stuerke, 2004. "Public Predisclosure Information, Firm Size, Analyst Following, and Market Reactions to Earnings Announcements," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(7‐8), pages 951-984, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:31:y:2004:i:7-8:p:951-984
    DOI: 10.1111/j.0306-686X.2004.00563.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Theodore E. Christensen & Robert E. Hoyt & Jeffrey S. Paterson, 1999. "Ex Ante Incentives for Earnings Management and the Informativeness of Earnings," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(7‐8), pages 807-832, September.
    2. Atiase, Rk, 1985. "Predisclosure Information, Firm Capitalization, And Security Price Behavior Around Earnings Announcements," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(1), pages 21-36.
    3. Petroni, Kathy Ruby, 1992. "Optimistic reporting in the property- casualty insurance industry," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 485-508, December.
    4. Youngsoon Susan Cheon & Theodore E. Christensen & Linda Smith Bamber, 2001. "Factors Associated with Differences in the Magnitude of Abnormal Returns Around NYSE Versus Nasdaq Firms' Earnings Announcements," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(9&10), pages 1073-1108.
    5. Theodore E. Christensen & Robert E. Hoyt & Jeffrey S. Paterson, 1999. ""Ex Ante" Incentives for Earnings Management and the Informativeness of Earnings," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(7&8), pages 807-832.
    6. Lobo, Gj & Mahmoud, Aaw, 1989. "Relationship Between Differential Amounts Of Prior Information And Security Return Variability," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 116-134.
    7. Grant, Eb, 1980. "Market Implications Of Differential Amounts Of Interim Information," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(1), pages 255-268.
    8. Daniel W. Collins & William K. Salatka, 1993. "Noisy Accounting Earnings Signals and Earnings Response Coefficients: The Case of Foreign Currency Accounting," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 10(1), pages 119-159, September.
    9. Brown, Lawrence D. & Hagerman, Robert L. & Griffin, Paul A. & Zmijewski, Mark E., 1987. "An evaluation of alternative proxies for the market's assessment of unexpected earnings," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 159-193, July.
    10. Ball, R & Brown, P, 1968. "Empirical Evaluation Of Accounting Income Numbers," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(2), pages 159-178.
    11. Theodore E. Christensen, 2002. "The Effects of Uncertainty on the Informativeness of Earnings: Evidence from the Insurance Industry in the Wake of Catastrophic Events," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1&2), pages 223-255.
    12. Shores, D, 1990. "The Association Between Interim Information And Security Returns Surrounding Earnings Announcements," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(1), pages 164-181.
    13. Youngsoon Susan Cheon & Theodore E. Christensen & Linda Smith Bamber, 2001. "Factors Associated with Differences in the Magnitude of Abnormal Returns Around NYSE Versus Nasdaq Firms’ Earnings Announcements," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(9‐10), pages 1073-1108, November.
    14. Theodore E. Christensen, 2002. "The Effects of Uncertainty on the Informativeness of Earnings: Evidence from the Insurance Industry in the Wake of Catastrophic Events," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1‐2), pages 223-255.
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    1. Pevzner, Mikhail & Xie, Fei & Xin, Xiangang, 2015. "When firms talk, do investors listen? The role of trust in stock market reactions to corporate earnings announcements," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 190-223.
    2. Craig W. Holden & Pamela S. Stuerke, 2008. "The Frequency of Financial Analysts' Forecast Revisions: Theory and Evidence about Determinants of Demand for Predisclosure Information," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(7‐8), pages 860-888, September.
    3. Tarek Abdelfattah & Mohamed Elmahgoub & Ahmed A. Elamer, 2021. "Female Audit Partners and Extended Audit Reporting: UK Evidence," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 174(1), pages 177-197, November.
    4. Vithessonthi, Chaiporn, 2014. "What explains the initial return of initial public offerings after the 1997 Asian financial crisis? Evidence from Thailand," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 89-113.
    5. Young K. Park & Kee H. Chung, 2007. "Foreign and Local Institutional Ownership and the Speed of Price Adjustment," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(9‐10), pages 1569-1595, November.

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