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The Accuracy and Incremental Information Content of Audit Reports in Predicting Bankruptcy

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  • Clive S. Lennox

Abstract

A series of corporate failures in which auditors failed to warn about impending bankruptcy led to widespread criticism of the UK auditing profession during the last recession. For a sample of 976 quoted companies (1987–94), this paper shows that there are two reasons why audit reports were not accurate or informative indicators of bankruptcy. First, audit reports poorly reflected publicly available information about the probability of bankruptcy. Secondly, strong persistence in audit reporting reduced the accuracy of audit reports

Suggested Citation

  • Clive S. Lennox, 1999. "The Accuracy and Incremental Information Content of Audit Reports in Predicting Bankruptcy," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(5‐6), pages 757-778, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:26:y:1999:i:5-6:p:757-778
    DOI: 10.1111/1468-5957.00274
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    Cited by:

    1. Fabrizio Bava & Melchior Gromis di Trana, 2021. "Big4 Versus Non-Big4 Opinion about the Going Concern Assessment: A Survey," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(2), pages 1-87, July.
    2. Nora Muñoz-Izquierdo & María-del-Mar Camacho-Miñano & María-Jesús Segovia-Vargas & David Pascual-Ezama, 2019. "Is the External Audit Report Useful for Bankruptcy Prediction? Evidence Using Artificial Intelligence," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-23, April.
    3. Deqiu Chen & Li Li & Xuejiao Liu & Gerald J. Lobo, 2018. "Social Trust and Auditor Reporting Conservatism," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 153(4), pages 1083-1108, December.
    4. Paul P. M. Pompe & Jan Bilderbeek, 2005. "Bankruptcy prediction: the influence of the year prior to failure selected for model building and the effects in a period of economic decline," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(2), pages 95-112, June.
    5. Andrzej Geise & Magdalena Kuczmarska & Jarosław Pawlowski, 2021. "Corporate Failure Prediction of Construction Companies in Poland: Evidence from Logit Model," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 99-116.
    6. Desai, Vikram & Bucaro, Anthony C. & Kim, Joung W. & Srivastava, Rajendra & Desai, Renu, 2023. "Toward a better expert system for auditor going concern opinions using Bayesian network inflation factors," International Journal of Accounting Information Systems, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    7. Lennox, Clive, 2000. "Do companies successfully engage in opinion-shopping? Evidence from the UK," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 321-337, June.
    8. Reza Monem, 2011. "The One.Tel Collapse: Lessons for Corporate Governance," Australian Accounting Review, CPA Australia, vol. 21(4), pages 340-351, December.
    9. Inga Chira, 2014. "Bad news and bank performance during the 2008 financial crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(18), pages 1187-1198, September.
    10. Antonio Fabio Forgione & Carlo Migliardo, 2019. "An empirical analysis of the impact of trade credit on bank debt restructuring," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 36(2), pages 415-438, July.
    11. Klaus Ruhnke, 2003. "Nutzen von Abschlussprüfungen: Bezugsrahmen und Einordnung empirischer Studien," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 250-280, May.
    12. Salwa Kessioui & Michalis Doumpos & Constantin Zopounidis, 2023. "A Bibliometric Overview of the State-of-the-Art in Bankruptcy Prediction Methods and Applications," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Emilios Galariotis & Alexandros Garefalakis & Christos Lemonakis & Marios Menexiadis & Constantin Zo (ed.), Governance and Financial Performance Current Trends and Perspectives, chapter 6, pages 123-153, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    13. Chrysovalantis Gaganis, 2009. "Classification techniques for the identification of falsified financial statements: a comparative analysis," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 207-229, July.
    14. Kerstin Lopatta & Mario Albert Gloger & Reemda Jaeschke, 2017. "Can Language Predict Bankruptcy? The Explanatory Power of Tone in 10‐K Filings," Accounting Perspectives, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(4), pages 315-343, December.
    15. Muñoz-Izquierdo, Nora & Segovia-Vargas, María Jesús & Camacho-Miñano, María-del-Mar & Pascual-Ezama, David, 2019. "Explaining the causes of business failure using audit report disclosures," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 403-414.
    16. Pasiouras, Fotios & Gaganis, Chrysovalantis & Zopounidis, Constantin, 2007. "Multicriteria decision support methodologies for auditing decisions: The case of qualified audit reports in the UK," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 180(3), pages 1317-1330, August.
    17. Jennifer C. Ireland, 2003. "An Empirical Investigation of Determinants of Audit Reports in the UK," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(7‐8), pages 975-1016, September.
    18. Velia Gabriella Cenciarelli & Giulio Greco & Marco Allegrini, 2018. "External audit and bankruptcy prediction," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 22(4), pages 863-890, December.
    19. Geiger, Marshall A. & Basioudis, Ilias G. & DeLange, Paul, 2022. "The effect of non-audit fees and industry specialization on the prevalence and accuracy of auditor’s going-concern reporting decisions," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    20. Ahmed Anis, 2014. "Auditors' Perceptions Of Audit Firm Rotation Impact On Audit Quality In Egypt," Accounting & Taxation, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 6(1), pages 105-120.

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