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Causality Between Productivity And Exports In Agriculture: Evidence From Asia And Latin America

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  • Carlos Arnade
  • Utpal Vasavada

Abstract

This paper examines the causal relationship between agricultural productivity and exports for selected Asian and Latin American countries. Alternative views about the causal relationship between these variables of economic interest exist. Economic theory provides no firm basis to judge whether productivity causes exports or exports cause productivity (export‐led growth). Since this issue is empirical, econometric tests are utilised to investigate the nature of this causality. Test results are mixed although the export‐led growth hypothesis is validated in a few cases.

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  • Carlos Arnade & Utpal Vasavada, 1995. "Causality Between Productivity And Exports In Agriculture: Evidence From Asia And Latin America," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(2), pages 174-186, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jageco:v:46:y:1995:i:2:p:174-186
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1477-9552.1995.tb00764.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Judith Giles & Cara Williams, 2001. "Export-led growth: a survey of the empirical literature and some non-causality results. Part 2," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 445-470.
    2. Rajwant Kaur & Amarjit Singh Sidhu, 2014. "Causal Relationship between Exports and Agricultural GDP in India," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 15(1), pages 105-120, March.
    3. Olper, Alessandro & Pacca, Lucia & Curzi, Daniele, 2014. "Trade, import competition and productivity growth in the food industry," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(P1), pages 71-83.
    4. Judith A. Clarke & Mukesh Ralhan, 2005. "Direct and Indirect Causality Between Exports and Economic Output for Bangladesh and Sri Lanka: Horizon Matters," Econometrics Working Papers 0512, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
    5. P. K. Mishra, 2011. "The Dynamics of Relationship between exports and economic growth in India," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 4(2), pages 53-70, August.
    6. Reppas, Panayiotis A. & Christopoulos, Dimitris K., 2005. "The export-output growth nexus: Evidence from African and Asian countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 27(8), pages 929-940, November.
    7. Judith Giles & Cara Williams, 2001. "Export-led growth: a survey of the empirical literature and some non-causality results. Part 1," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(3), pages 261-337.
    8. Echeverria, Rodrigo & Gopinath, Munisamy & Moreira, Victor H. & Cortes, Pedro, 2009. "The Export-Production Decision of Chilean Farmers: The Case of Blueberry Producers," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 51025, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    9. Xiaming Liu & Haiyan Song & Peter Romilly, 1997. "An empirical investigation of the causal relationship between openness and economic growth in China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(12), pages 1679-1686.
    10. Aurangzeb, 2003. "Trade, Investment and Growth Nexus in Pakistan: An Application of Cointegration and Multivariate Causality Test," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 119-137, Jan-June.
    11. László Kónya & Jai Pal Singh, 2007. "Causality between Indian Exports, Imports, and Agricultural, Manufacturing GDP," Working Papers 2007.02, School of Economics, La Trobe University.
    12. Cosmos Antwi-Boateng, 2015. "Does Export Trading Influence Economic Growth In Ghana?," Journal of Empirical Economics, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 4(1), pages 63-77.
    13. Asmawi Hashim & Norimah Rambeli & Norasibah Abdul Jalil & Normala Zulkifli & Emilda Hashim & Noor Al-Huda Abdul Karim, 2019. "Does Export Led Growth Hypothesis Hold Under World Crisis Recovery Regime in Malaysia?," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(5), pages 9-19, December.
    14. Xi He, 2020. "US agricultural exports and labor market adjustments," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 51(4), pages 609-621, July.
    15. Fadzil, Atikah & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Does export lead growth? evidence from Japan," MPRA Paper 109290, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Zapata, Hector O. & Gil, Jose M., 1999. "Cointegration and causality in international agricultural economics research," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 20(1), pages 1-9, January.
    17. Arisara Romyen & Jianxu Liu & Songsak Sriboonchitta, 2019. "Export–Output Growth Nexus Using Threshold VAR and VEC Models: Empirical Evidence from Thailand," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-16, June.
    18. Marjan Petreski, 2007. "Export-Led Growth Hypothesis: Empirical Evidence From Macedonia," Journal Articles, Center For Economic Analyses, pages 33-43, June.
    19. Ousama Ben-Salha & Abir Abid & Ghassen El Montasser, 2023. "Linear and Nonlinear Causal Linkages Between Exports and Growth in Next Eleven Economies," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(2), pages 1194-1226, June.
    20. Santosh Kumar & Bharat Kumar Meher & Birau Ramona & Nioata (Chireac) Roxana-Mihaela & Abhishek Anand & Cirjan Nadia Tudora, 2024. "Analyzing The Robust Impact Of Macroeconomic Factors On Sustainable Agriculture In India: Ardl Approach," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 3, pages 38-53, June.

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