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Shock Persistence and Structural Change

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  • DAVID GREASLEY
  • LES OXLEY

Abstract

Testing for unit roots, and the related issue of measuring shock persistence, has attracted considerable econometric interest. The issue of the size of the random walk component raised by Cochrane (1988) has been extended by Coglcy (1990). Jaeger (1990), Leung (1992), and latterly Mayadunne, Evans and Inder (1995).

Suggested Citation

  • David Greasley & Les Oxley, 1997. "Shock Persistence and Structural Change," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 73(223), pages 348-362, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:73:y:1997:i:223:p:348-362
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-4932.1997.tb01007.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kwiatkowski, Denis & Phillips, Peter C. B. & Schmidt, Peter & Shin, Yongcheol, 1992. "Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root : How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1-3), pages 159-178.
    2. Bernard, Andrew B & Durlauf, Steven N, 1995. "Convergence in International Output," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(2), pages 97-108, April-Jun.
    3. Sadequl Islam, 1996. "Persistence of economic growth and its determinants: some evidence for South Korea and India," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 53-54.
    4. Romer, Christina D, 1989. "The Prewar Business Cycle Reconsidered: New Estimates of Gross National Product, 1869-1908," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 97(1), pages 1-37, February.
    5. repec:bla:ecorec:v:71:y:1995:i:213:p:145-56 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. J. Bradford DeLong & Lawrence H. Summers, 1988. "How Does Macroeconomic Policy Affect Output?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 19(2), pages 433-494.
    7. Beveridge, Stephen & Nelson, Charles R., 1981. "A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the `business cycle'," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 151-174.
    8. Geetha Mayadunne & Merran Evans & Brett Inder, 1995. "An Empirical Investigation of Shock Persistence in Economic Time Series," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 71(2), pages 145-156, June.
    9. Raj, Baldev, 1992. "International Evidence on Persistence in Output in the Presence of an Episodic Change," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(3), pages 281-293, July-Sept.
    10. Greasley, David & Oxley, Les, 1997. "Unit Roots and British Industrial Growth, 1923-92," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, University of Manchester, vol. 65(2), pages 192-212, March.
    11. Nelson, Charles R. & Plosser, Charles I., 1982. "Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series : Some evidence and implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 139-162.
    12. Cogley, Timothy, 1990. "International Evidence on the Size of the Random Walk in Output," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(3), pages 501-518, June.
    13. Robert J. Gordon, 1986. "The American Business Cycle: Continuity and Change," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number gord86-1.
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    15. repec:fth:harver:1418 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Cochrane, John H, 1988. "How Big Is the Random Walk in GNP?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(5), pages 893-920, October.
    17. Perron, Pierre, 1989. "The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(6), pages 1361-1401, November.
    18. Schotman, Peter C & van Dijk, Herman K, 1991. "On Bayesian Routes to Unit Roots," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(4), pages 387-401, Oct.-Dec..
    19. Shin, Yongcheol & Schmidt, Peter, 1992. "The KPSS stationarity test as a unit root test," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 387-392, April.
    20. Steven N. Durlauf, 1989. "Output Persistence, Economic Structure, and the Choice of Stabilization Policy," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 20(2), pages 69-136.
    21. Zelhorst, Dick & de Haan, Jakob, 1995. "Testing for a Break in Output: New International Evidence," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 47(2), pages 357-362, April.
    22. Greasley, David & Oxley, Les, 1996. "Technological Epochs and British Industrial Production, 1700-1992," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 43(3), pages 258-274, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. David Greasley & Les Oxley, 2010. "Cliometrics And Time Series Econometrics: Some Theory And Applications," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(5), pages 970-1042, December.

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