IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/ecopol/v36y2024i3p1537-1571.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Economic voting behavior: The peak‐end growth rule

Author

Listed:
  • Zekai Shen
  • Yiyang Jin
  • Yuanyuan Dong
  • Yazhou Liu

Abstract

This paper introduces the peak‐end rule to economic voting, finding that voters focus on peak and end economic growth when evaluating incumbents. Cross‐national data from 595 elections in 70 countries (1960–2020) shows that the average of the highest GDP growth rate during the term and the growth rate in the election year positively impacts incumbent vote share, with peak growth having a stronger effect. Instrumental variable analysis addresses endogeneity. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that less‐educated voters rely more on the peak‐end rule. The findings contribute to understanding voters' behavioral patterns and improving democratic accountability.

Suggested Citation

  • Zekai Shen & Yiyang Jin & Yuanyuan Dong & Yazhou Liu, 2024. "Economic voting behavior: The peak‐end growth rule," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 1537-1571, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecopol:v:36:y:2024:i:3:p:1537-1571
    DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12299
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecpo.12299
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/ecpo.12299?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:ecopol:v:36:y:2024:i:3:p:1537-1571. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0954-1985 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.