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Does The Economy Matter? An Empirical Analysis Of The Causal Chain Connecting The Economy And The Vote In Galicia

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  • Ignacio Lago‐Peñas
  • Santiago Lago‐Peñas

Abstract

In this paper the causal chain connecting the economy and the vote in 2001 Galician regional elections is analyzed. Our findings demonstrate that economic voting is not just a matter of reactions to economic perceptions. It also depends to a great extent on two intermediate mechanisms: whether or not the incumbent is held responsible for economic outcomes and performance and voters' views of the relative economic management capabilities of opposition parties.

Suggested Citation

  • Ignacio Lago‐Peñas & Santiago Lago‐Peñas, 2005. "Does The Economy Matter? An Empirical Analysis Of The Causal Chain Connecting The Economy And The Vote In Galicia," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(2), pages 215-243, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecopol:v:17:y:2005:i:2:p:215-243
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0343.2005.00152.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alvarez, R. Michael & Nagler, Jonathan, 2000. "A New Approach for Modelling Strategic Voting in Multiparty Elections," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(1), pages 57-75, January.
    2. Hodrick, Robert J & Prescott, Edward C, 1997. "Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, February.
    3. Molero, Juan Carlos, 2002. "Gasto Público y Federalismo Fiscal en España. Período 1984-1998 [Public Spending and Fiscal Federalism in Spain. Period 1984-1998]," MPRA Paper 8098, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Alvarez, R. Michael & Nagler, Jonathan & Bowler, Shaun, 2000. "Issues, Economics, and the Dynamics of Multiparty Elections: The British 1987 General Election," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 94(1), pages 131-149, March.
    5. Royed, Terry J. & Leyden, Kevin M. & Borrelli, Stephen A., 2000. "Is ‘Clarity of Responsibility’ Important for Economic Voting? Revisiting Powell and Whitten's Hypothesis," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(4), pages 669-698, October.
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