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Did cryptocurrencies exhibit log‐periodic power law signature during the second wave of COVID‐19?

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  • Bikramaditya Ghosh
  • Spyros Papathanasiou
  • Georgios Pergeris

Abstract

Many studies have associated cryptocurrencies with bubbles, especially during stressed market conditions such as the recent outbreak of the second wave of COVID‐19. Although the majority of studies have focused on Bitcoin, we investigate the predictability of bubble formation in the cryptocurrency market by using the log‐periodic power law and we uncover some important stylized facts of this market. Our sample consists of data for a selection of 15 cryptocurrencies for the period between 1 January 2021 and 1 September 2021 which coincides with the second wave of COVID‐19. We analyse 86 speculative bubbles, and we find that the cryptocurrency market has three times higher drawdown over equities during stressed market conditions.

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  • Bikramaditya Ghosh & Spyros Papathanasiou & Georgios Pergeris, 2022. "Did cryptocurrencies exhibit log‐periodic power law signature during the second wave of COVID‐19?," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 51(3), November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecnote:v:51:y:2022:i:3:n:e12207
    DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12207
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    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Jian & Julaiti, Jiansuer & Gou, Shangde, 2024. "Decomposing interconnectedness: A study of cryptocurrency spillover effects in global financial markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    2. Zhang, Lei & Bouri, Elie & Chen, Yan, 2023. "Co-jump dynamicity in the cryptocurrency market: A network modelling perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).

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