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Guns And Oil: An Analysis Of Conventional Weapons Trade In The Post‐Cold War Era

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  • NEHA KHANNA
  • DUANE CHAPMAN

Abstract

This paper analyzes the global conventional weapons trade between 1989 and 1999. We postulate that a key reason for the huge transfer of weapons to the Persian Gulf region is the enormous value of the oil wealth there along with the dependence of Western economies on access to the relatively cheap and steady supply of crude oil. We find a strong, positive, and robust empirical association between arms trade and crude oil trade and explain it as the result of a target price band arrangement that was responsible for the remarkably stable crude oil prices during our study period. (JEL F10, F59, Q38)

Suggested Citation

  • Neha Khanna & Duane Chapman, 2010. "Guns And Oil: An Analysis Of Conventional Weapons Trade In The Post‐Cold War Era," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 48(2), pages 434-459, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecinqu:v:48:y:2010:i:2:p:434-459
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2008.00203.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Duane Chapman & Neha Khanna, 2006. "The Persian Gulf, Global Oil Resources, And International Security," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 24(4), pages 507-519, October.
    2. Ron P. Smith & Ali Tasiran, 2005. "The Demand for Arms Imports," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 42(2), pages 167-181, March.
    3. Smith, R P, 1989. "Models of Military Expenditure," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 4(4), pages 345-359, Oct.-Dec..
    4. Duane Chapman & Neha Khanna, 2001. "An Economic Analysis Of Aspects Of Petroleum And Military Security In The Persian Gulf," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 19(4), pages 371-381, October.
    5. Levine, Paul & Smith, Ron, 1997. "The arms trade and the stability of regional arms races," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 21(2-3), pages 631-654.
    6. Ron Smith & Anthony Humm & Jacques Fontanel, 1985. "The Economics of Exporting Arms," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 22(3), pages 239-247, September.
    7. Todd Sandler & Keith Hartley (ed.), 2003. "The Economics of Conflict," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 0, number 2497.
    8. M. A. Adelman, 1986. "The Competitive Floor to World Oil Prices," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4), pages 9-31.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pierre-Louis Vézina, 2021. "The Oil Nouveau-Riche and Arms Imports," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 30(4), pages 349-369.
    2. Omar, Ayman M.A. & Wisniewski, Tomasz Piotr & Nolte, Sandra, 2017. "Diversifying away the risk of war and cross-border political crisis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 494-510.
    3. Evgeniy M. Ozhegov & Daria Teterina, 2018. "The Ensemble Method For Censored Demand Prediction," HSE Working papers WP BRP 200/EC/2018, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    4. Omar, Ayman & Lambe, Brendan John, 2022. "Crude oil pricing and statecraft: Surprising lessons from US economic sanctions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F59 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - Other
    • Q38 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Government Policy (includes OPEC Policy)

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